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David Roberts News
Prediction markets for David Roberts
Prediction markets for David Roberts
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
Jun 12, 3:00 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8.29%
chance
21
6832
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3327
301
Will multiple credible sources claim GPT-5 is sentient?
May 15, 7:20 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
11.19%
chance
21
1719
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1987
795
Save WOT succeeds by uncancelling the show?
May 29, 12:48 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6.35%
chance
7
1005
Option
Votes
YES
NO
735
92
Will a post AGI future (If AGI is created and doesn’t wipe out humanity) be really nice and compassionate to criminals ?
Jul 28, 11:30 PM
Jan 1, 12:13 AM
70.53%
chance
8
148
Option
Votes
NO
YES
155
65
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