Dee News

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71.75%chance

464679780

OptionVotes

YES

17782

9207

By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?

Nov 17, 12:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.08%chance

20751265

OptionVotes

YES

3275

1301

Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?

Jan 25, 5:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.58%chance

7132050

OptionVotes

YES

25925

4669

Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?

Jan 22, 6:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.83%chance

4824718

OptionVotes

YES

25942

6512

What does the D mean in One Piece?

Feb 21, 1:12 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14519216

OptionProbability

Other

D stands for "half moon" as in the people who have the initial are half moon descendants

D is the proof of alliance with joyboy and the ancient kingdom.

D stands for 'dawn'

D stands for 'danger'

D represents a Smile

D stands for 'descendants'

D stands for 'slave'

D stands for 'death' (or similar: die, dead, etc)

D stands for 'dream'

D stands for 'devil'

D is slang for 'The'

D stands for nothing at all, or is just a letter, or is just 'Dee'

D stands for 'destroy' or 'destruction'

D stands for “drums”

D stands for 'delicious'

D is the name of Joyboy

D stands for 'deluge' (or similar: flood, etc)

D stands for 'dragon'

D stands for some random japanese word or name (relatively untranslatable)

D stands for Doki Doki / Heartbeats or rhythm / Heart beating fast or equivalent

D stands for “Dick”

Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:58 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

21.33%chance

2710339

OptionVotes

YES

19404

4922

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM

52.59%chance

767314

OptionVotes

YES

2494

1805

Survivor 50 winner?

May 28, 3:18 PMJun 5, 6:59 AM

55339

OptionProbability

Other

Christian Hubicki

Angelina Keeley

Mike White

Emily Flippen

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

Charlie Davis

Kamilla Karthigesu

Jenna Lewis

Colby Donaldson

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

Cirie Fields

Ozzy Lusth

Aubry Bracco

Chrissy Hofbeck

Rick Devens

Jonathan Young

Dee Valladares

Q Burdette

Genevieve Mushaluk

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

Joe Hunter

Kyle Fraser

What new playable Super Smash Brothers characters will be added by 2028? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]

Oct 10, 6:54 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

213110

OptionProbability

Paper Mario

Octoling

Waluigi

Psycho Mantis

Toad

Bandana Dee

Monster Hunter

Toadette

Tom Nook

Tails

Crash Bandicoot

Rayman

Gengar

Doctor Eggman

Prince Fluff

Chibi-Robo

Chun-Li

Kamek

Master Chief

Tetris piece (Tetromino)

Freddy Fazbear

Dino Piranha

Lubba

Spider-Man

竈門炭治郎 / Tanjiro Kamado

Mana-Chan

You, the player (You get physically sent into the game like in Tron)

The titular John Smash and Bob Smash

A third Mario brother

Jimmy Carter

Will Tamay Besiroglu win his Deep Learning vs Program Synthesis bet with Mike Knoop?

Oct 28, 1:24 AMNov 4, 6:59 AM

86.59%chance

142088

OptionVotes

YES

2541

393

Who will be the winner of Survivor 50: In the Hands of the Fans?

Jun 2, 1:49 PMJun 2, 1:21 PM

11000

OptionProbability

Angelina Keeley

Aubry Bracco

Charlie Davis

Chrissy Hofbeck

Christian Hubicki

Cirie Fields

Coach Wade

Colby Donaldson

Dee Valladares

Emily Flippen

Genevieve Mushaluk

Jenna Lewis

Joe Hunter

Jonathan Young

Kamilla Karthigesu

Mike White

Ozzy Lusth

Q Burdette

Rick Devens

Stephenie LaGrossa

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

Survivor 49 Placeholder [Male Castaway - See Contingency rules]

Survivor 49 Placeholder [Female Castaway - See Contingency rules]

No member of the announced cast [See Contingency rules]

Kyle Fraser

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.89%chance

3230

OptionVotes

YES

4071

3711

Dee News

Prediction markets for Dee

Prediction markets for Dee

Prediction markets for Dee

Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?

By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?

Did DeepSeek lie about the GPU compute budget they used in the training of v3?

Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?

What does the D mean in One Piece?

Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

Survivor 50 winner?

What new playable Super Smash Brothers characters will be added by 2028? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]

Will Tamay Besiroglu win his Deep Learning vs Program Synthesis bet with Mike Knoop?

Who will be the winner of Survivor 50: In the Hands of the Fans?

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

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