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Prediction markets for Devi

Did tech companies spy on you through device microphones?

Jan 4, 5:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.88%chance

7310484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3680

272

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

30.11%chance

197235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15224

6573

Will Danny Devito play Wario in any official Nintendo movie before the end of 2029?

May 15, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.1%chance

241406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2658

1552

Will the US require speed limiting devices on cars by 2030?

Aug 13, 3:25 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

27.72%chance

161277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1615

619

Will the next Apple Vision device have a starting price of less than $2000?

Feb 4, 10:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.31%chance

281116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

913

Yet another large coordinated "exploding devices" attack before 2026?

Nov 12, 12:27 AMJan 15, 3:59 PM

28.07%chance

10949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1601

625

By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?

Mar 27, 1:00 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

26.11%chance

23578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

958

Will Apple launch their first folding devices with one that costs less than $2000?

May 25, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.92%chance

11545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1085

921

Apple Vision Pro breaks 50% annual VR/AR device market share through 2026

Jun 6, 2:38 PMJun 7, 3:59 AM

22%chance

14470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

961

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

Real world adblocking device available by end 2031

Oct 2, 5:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.42%chance

14379

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

902

100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027

Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.77%chance

5121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

919

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