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Prediction markets for Devi

Did tech companies spy on you through device microphones?

Jan 4, 5:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.88%chance

7310484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3680

272

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

207285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15274

6551

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?

Jan 21, 2:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.34%chance

554102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2066

339

Will Danny Devito play Wario in any official Nintendo movie before the end of 2029?

May 15, 6:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.1%chance

241406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2658

1552

By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?

Mar 27, 1:00 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

28.04%chance

24603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

891

Will Apple launch their first folding devices with one that costs less than $2000?

May 25, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.92%chance

11545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

926

Apple Vision Pro breaks 50% annual VR/AR device market share through 2026

Jun 6, 2:38 PMJun 7, 3:59 AM

22%chance

14470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

961

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

Real world adblocking device available by end 2031

Oct 2, 5:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.42%chance

14379

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

902

Space Mission or groundbased observation device whose major objectives from the start include observation of 3l/Atlas?

Oct 14, 9:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.32%chance

2255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1242

805

100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027

Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.77%chance

5121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

919

Will the Michigan Tinnitus Device (Auricle) be released before the end of 2030?

Nov 29, 10:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.34%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1599

1582

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