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Prediction markets for Dickson

Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?

Feb 10, 10:47 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

71.12%chance

9611548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1458

873

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Presidential election?

May 8, 12:06 PMDec 30, 6:59 AM

12%chance

299726

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

537

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Presidential Election of the United States?

Jul 15, 7:24 PMJan 23, 6:59 AM

19.59%chance

458296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2026

494

At any point before the end of 2030, will 1 bitcoin be worth over $1M?

Apr 3, 4:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.5%chance

348004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1852

865

Will Elsa come out as Lesbian in Frozen 3?

Mar 21, 7:35 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6.04%chance

685669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4653

739

Will social security go bankrupt by 2030?

Apr 23, 2:45 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

11.02%chance

241959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1369

923

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?

Jan 3, 7:10 PMFeb 1, 6:59 AM

5.02%chance

201646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

967

964

Will Greg Abbott be elected president of the United States in 2028?

Jan 7, 3:36 AMFeb 1, 6:59 AM

1.12%chance

81445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1358

105

Is Dickson's conjecture true?

Oct 28, 6:20 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91.95%chance

4223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

325

54

Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. presidential election NOT serve their full 4 year term?

Mar 13, 5:37 AMFeb 20, 6:59 AM

34.49%chance

11151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

297

262

Will another Boeing 737 Max crash during flight before the end of 2028?

Mar 13, 5:53 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

46.19%chance

10138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

169

Will Andrew G York win the Dickson Prize in Science?

May 22, 2:06 AMJan 1, 3:05 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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