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Prediction markets for Dickson

Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?

Feb 10, 10:47 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

77.12%chance

9511444

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1757

769

At any point before the end of 2030, will 1 bitcoin be worth over $1M?

Apr 3, 4:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.16%chance

347942

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1915

858

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Presidential election?

May 8, 12:06 PMDec 30, 6:59 AM

12%chance

267735

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

537

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Presidential Election of the United States?

Jul 15, 7:24 PMJan 23, 6:59 AM

21.55%chance

437479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1909

524

Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?

Mar 13, 5:32 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

19.89%chance

435858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

529

98

Will Elsa come out as Lesbian in Frozen 3?

Mar 21, 7:35 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6.04%chance

685669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4653

739

Will social security go bankrupt by 2030?

Apr 23, 2:45 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

11.02%chance

241959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1369

923

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be elected U.S. president in 2028?

Jan 3, 7:10 PMFeb 1, 6:59 AM

5.2%chance

201499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

966

932

Will Greg Abbott be elected president of the United States in 2028?

Jan 7, 3:36 AMFeb 1, 6:59 AM

0.96%chance

71443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1549

103

Is Dickson's conjecture true?

Oct 28, 6:20 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91.95%chance

4223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

325

54

Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. presidential election NOT serve their full 4 year term?

Mar 13, 5:37 AMFeb 20, 6:59 AM

34.49%chance

11151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

297

262

Will another Boeing 737 Max crash during flight before the end of 2028?

Mar 13, 5:53 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

46.19%chance

10138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

181

169

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