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Top stories

BLACKPINK Reunites for 'DEADLINE' Tour, Releases 'JUMP' Directed by Dave Meyers, Tops 'Show Champion,' Performs 'APT.' in Toronto

BLACKPINK Reunites for 'DEADLINE' Tour, Releases 'JUMP' Directed by Dave Meyers, Tops 'Show Champion,' Performs 'APT.' in Toronto

Authors

9

10 days ago

Prediction markets for Diplo

Will Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2025?

Dec 17, 6:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.12%chance

4111114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1599

625

Will Nikki Haley (American diplomat, politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.11%chance

261446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1903

904

Will general purpose AI models beat average score of human players in Diplomacy by 2028?

Sep 20, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61%chance

111201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

984

Will the Vatican State stop its diplomatic relationship with Taiwan and establish one with China before 2027?

Apr 17, 8:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35%chance

201040

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

476

Will Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2026?

Jan 16, 4:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71%chance

18743

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

64

Which of Taiwan/ROC's 'diplomatic allies' will 'flip' to the PRC before 2028?

Jan 31, 1:17 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

7424

OptionProbability

Haiti

Tuvalu

Vatican City

Paraguay

Guatemala

Saint Lucia

Belize

Palau

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Eswatini

Marshall Islands

Saint Kitts and Nevis

80

79

63

51

50

50

34

34

25

20

10

10

Will John Bolton (American attorney, diplomat, political commentator) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 30, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.39%chance

6357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

406

108

Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?

Dec 23, 7:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.79%chance

11164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

973

Will Iran and the United States establish formal diplomatic relations before 2030?

Jan 18, 9:40 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

29.87%chance

5134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

86

Will Taiwan/ROC gain any 'diplomatic allies' before 2027?

Mar 27, 9:37 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

32.45%chance

371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

73

Will OpenAI model win first "inter-AI-model diplomacy" game where the game is EU4/5, Civ6/7, or AoE2 Regicide Rumble?

Jul 17, 11:22 PMJan 1, 12:21 AM

50%chance

228

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Michael Tartre get to play a @T90Official regicide diplomacy/regicide rumble game by EOY2033?

Jul 22, 8:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 23, 2025
Jul 23, 2025
Korea
Music
Culture
BLACKPINK Reunites for 'DEADLINE' Tour, Releases 'JUMP' Directed by Dave Meyers, Tops 'Show Champion,' Performs 'APT.' in Toronto
Authors
9
10 days ago

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