Doge News

Did DOGE cause a data breach during 2025?

Feb 7, 3:17 AMJun 30, 5:18 PM

10%chance

12519566

OptionVotes

YES

3000

333

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

3.19%chance

3710890

OptionVotes

YES

5508

182

Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?

Feb 19, 6:04 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

3.73%chance

5410450

OptionVotes

YES

5083

197

Will Elon Musk be federally indicted by Trump DOJ for his DOGE stint?

May 31, 7:06 PMJan 20, 8:02 PM

4.9%chance

143961

OptionVotes

YES

4406

227

Will Dogecoin ($DOGE) be adopted as legal tender in at least 1 country by 2027?

May 8, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3%chance

253443

OptionVotes

YES

3159

825

Will DOGE find something on government computers that leads to an indictment?

Feb 4, 1:05 AMApr 7, 9:59 PM

14.65%chance

221935

OptionVotes

YES

479

248

Will the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) top $0.682 anytime before the end of 2028?

Nov 6, 8:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.47%chance

81282

OptionVotes

YES

2035

490

Musk's role at DOGE ruled unconstitutional

Mar 14, 3:00 AMJul 1, 11:59 AM

15%chance

251278

OptionVotes

YES

238

DOGE (Dept. of Govt. Efficiency) Meta Market

Mar 17, 4:08 AMJan 24, 10:59 AM

15532

OptionProbability

Elon Musk involvement cut short

5+ of lawsuits against DOGE dismissed

Will generally be perceived as a bad thing by mid 2026

Announces $500 billion in savings

50 lawsuits launched against DOGE

+20 cases against DOGE results in them being barred from / ordered to do something

DOGE Creation Executive Order Blocked / Overturned

Announces $1 trillion in savings

Finds fraud worth $100 billion

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Price of Dogecoin (DOGE) at the end of 2028

Feb 11, 8:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4319

OptionProbability

Under 32.5 Cents

Over 32.5 Cents

Will "Meditations on Doge" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 26, 4:59 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.82%chance

113

OptionVotes

YES

1013

998

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Did DOGE cause a data breach during 2025?

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?

Will Elon Musk be federally indicted by Trump DOJ for his DOGE stint?

Will Dogecoin ($DOGE) be adopted as legal tender in at least 1 country by 2027?

Will DOGE find something on government computers that leads to an indictment?

Will the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) top $0.682 anytime before the end of 2028?

Musk's role at DOGE ruled unconstitutional

DOGE (Dept. of Govt. Efficiency) Meta Market

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Price of Dogecoin (DOGE) at the end of 2028

Will "Meditations on Doge" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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