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Prediction markets for Doge

DOGE cuts $1T federal deficit by FY 2026?

Feb 4, 6:07 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

3.19%chance

3710890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5508

182

Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?

Feb 19, 6:04 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

3.72%chance

5510453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5086

197

Will Elon Musk be federally indicted by Trump DOJ for his DOGE stint?

May 31, 7:06 PMJan 20, 8:02 PM

4.9%chance

143961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4406

227

Will Dogecoin ($DOGE) be adopted as legal tender in at least 1 country by 2027?

May 8, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3%chance

253443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3159

825

Musk's role at DOGE ruled unconstitutional

Mar 14, 3:00 AMJul 1, 11:59 AM

5.09%chance

261494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

432

23

Will the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) top $0.682 anytime before the end of 2028?

Nov 6, 8:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18%chance

91382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2135

467

Will DOGE moon by 2030?

Apr 23, 10:08 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.08%chance

12594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

111

Price of Dogecoin (DOGE) at the end of 2028

Feb 11, 8:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5369

OptionProbability

Under 32.5 Cents

Over 32.5 Cents

56

44

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

55

53

51

50

28

Will President Trump extend the DOGE Executive Order Agenda past the July 4th, 2026 deadline?

Mar 10, 8:25 PMJul 5, 3:59 AM

9.82%chance

12329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

303

33

Will DOGE be resurrected/replicated by 2030?

Nov 24, 7:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.48%chance

6172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

54

Will "Meditations on Doge" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 26, 4:59 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.82%chance

113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

998

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