OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Other
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Kamala Harris
Jon Ossoff
J.B. Pritzker
Gretchen Whitmer
Andy Beshear
Mark Kelly
Wes Moore
Ro Khanna
Ruben Gallego
Michelle Obama
Amy Klobuchar
Raphael Warnock
Cory Booker
Kathy Hochul
Mark Cuban
Jamie Raskin
Jon Stewart
None
John Fetterman
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jeff Jackson
Jared Polis
Mitch Landrieu
Roy Cooper
Dianne Feinstein
Jimmy Carter
Tim Walz
Chuck Schumer
Tim Kaine
Bernie Sanders
Tammy Duckworth
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Elizabeth Warren
Michael Bloomberg
Dwayne Johnson
[Duplicate - Invalid]
Hakeem Jeffries
Andrew Yang
Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II
Dean Phillips
Bob Ferguson
Jay Inslee
Anthony Blinken
Susan Rice
Scott Wiener
Donald Trump
Sam Altman
Jeff Merkley
Merrick Garland
Taylor Swift
Tammy Baldwin
Katie Porter
Phil Murphy
Cenk Uygur
Joe Manchin
Sherrod Brown
Chris Murphy
Brian Schatz
John Bel Edwards
Clark Duke
Stacey Abrams
Nina Turner
john smith
Duplicate ignore
Gina Raimondo
Ron Desantis
Beto O'Rourke
Vermin Supreme
Hunter Biden
Invalid answer
John Jacob
Alex Jones
Bob Roberston the IV
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Stephen A Smith
27
17
9
6
6
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
J.D. Vance
Gavin Newsom
Other
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Marco Rubio
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Kamala Harris
Donald Trump
Jon Ossoff
Andy Beshear
JB Pritzker
Ron DeSantis
Gretchen Whitmer
Mark Kelly
Nikki Haley
No 2028 Election
Ruben Gallego
Tim Walz
Donald Trump Jr
Chris Murphy
Barron Trump
Abigail Spanberger
Ro Khanna
Tulsi Gabbard
Rahm Emmanuel
Joe Rogan
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson
Ted Cruz
Amy Klobuchar
Kanye West
Hunter Biden
Mike Pence
Raphael Warnock
Jared Polis
Bernie Sanders
Greg Abbott
Stacey Abrams
Glenn Youngkin
Elizabeth Warren
Cory Booker
Roy Cooper
Tim Scott
Mitch Landrieu
Michelle Lujan Grisham
Katie Porter
Joe Biden
Tucker Carlson
Wes Moore
Ration L. Ussy
Mark Cuban
RFK Jr.
Tetraspace
Lina Khan
Shawn Fain
Elon Musk
Ritchie Torres
Taylor Swift
Barack Obama
Stephen A. Smith
Mickey Mouse
Ivanka Trump
Laura Loomer
Sam Altman
John Fetterman
Al Gore
Kathy Hochul
[deleted]
Josh Hawley
Ezra Klein
Tim Kaine
invalid
Brian Kemp
David McCormick
Andrew Yang
Anna Paulina Luna
Amaryllis Fox
AI Overlord
Duplicate - Will Resolve No
Duplicate - Will Resolve No
Mike Johnson
Steven Bonell (Destiny)
Jamie Dimon
Abrego Garcia
Andrew Cuomo
Chris Van Hollen
Invalid
invalid
Deval Patrick
Jasmine Crockett
Oprah Winfrey
Michelle Obama
Sheldon Whitehouse
Robert Prevost
Harambe
Josh Stein
Jeff Jackson
Rand Paul
Vivek Ramaswamy
Elissa Slotkin
23
19
12
7
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Other
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Josh Shapiro
Pete Buttigieg
Mark Kelly
JB Pritzker
There won't be a real election because of MAGA fascism
Andy Beshear
Kamala Harris
Gretchen Whitmer
Raphael Warnock
Jon Ossoff
Michelle Obama
Wes Moore
Ruben Gallego
Ro Khanna
Jacob Frey
Mark Cuban
Cory Booker
James Talarico
Jamie Dimon
Colin Allred
Jared Polis
Tim Walz
Amy Klobuchar
Connor Duffy
[Invalid - Duplicate]
Yishan Wong
Adolf Hitler
Andrew Cuomo
John Fetterman
Stephen A. Smith
Ritchie Torres
Elissa Slotkin
Rahm Emanuel
Jill Biden
No one
Jasmine Crockett
After the American Civil war 2, a military hero recognized for contributions during the conflict will be nominated
Chris Van Hollen
Hakeem Jeffries
Matthew Robert Patrick (MatPat)
Zohran Mamdani
Noam Chomsky
Mikie Sherrill
Taylor Swift
Liz Cheney
Kirsten Gillibrand
Ezra Klein
Andrew Yang
Invalid
Josh Green
Chris Murphy
Bernie Sanders
John Stewart
George Washington
Paris Hilton
Donald Trump
Luigi Mangione @LuigiMangione
George Clooney
27
12
9
7
6
5
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
J. D. Vance
Gavin Newsom
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Josh Hawley
Gretchen Whitmer
Marco Rubio
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Mark Kelly
KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)
Glenn Youngkin
J. B. Pritzker
Andy Beshear
Jon Ossoff
Ron DeSantis
Elise Stefanik
Wes Moore
Mark Cuban
Nikki Haley
Jeff Jackson
Stephen Miller
Vivek Ramaswamy
Cory Booker
Raphael Warnock
Gina Raimondo
Ro Khanna
Chris Murphy
Tammy Duckworth
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Chris Sununu
Katie Hobbs
Tim Scott
Brian Kemp
Kristi Noem
Beto O'Rourke
John Fetterman
Tom Cotton
Brian Schatz
Joni Ernst
Michael Bennet
Tammy Baldwin
Kevin Stitt
Spencer Cox
Tate Reeves
Josh Green
Tina Kotek
Ted Cruz
Joe Rogan
Jay Inslee
Deval Patrick
Eric Swalwell
Wayne Messam
Jared Polis
Kirsten Gillibrand
Julian Castro
Dean Phillips
Katie Britt
Laphonza Butler
Eric Schmitt
Mike Lee
Catherine Cortez Masto
Chris Coons
Tim Kaine
Lisa Murkowski
Ruben Gallego
Donald Trump Jr.
Erika Kirk
Kamala Harris
James Donaldson (MrBeast)
Tucker Carlson
Will Hurd
Tulsi Gabbard
Dan Crenshaw
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
Amy Klobuchar
Andrew Yang
Stephen Colbert
Stephen Curry
Markwayne Mullin
Rand Paul
Joe Manchin
Maura Healey
Ivanka Trump
David Hogg
Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)
Taylor Swift
Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)
Matt Gaetz
Marianne Williamson
Ezra Klein
Mark Zuckerberg
Mike Pence
Jon Stewart
DUPLICATE
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Aella
Scott Alexander
Sam Altman
Zendaya
Michelle Obama
Kanye West
Mitt Romney
Sarah Palin
Ben Shapiro
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
Tim Walz
Al Gore
Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)
Me
Krantz (the user @Krantz)
41
23
18
18
15
13
13
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Bond will be a man
Gunplay
Bond drives a car
On screen fatalities
London will appear on screen
Car chase scene
Urban scene
Bond wears a suit/tuxedo
Bond tells ≥1 joke
Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"
A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.
A named character speaks in a language other than English
Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.
Bond drinks a martini
Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer
Opening action sequence
The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.
Gun Barrel Sequence
Sex scene
World capital other than London appears on screen
Hacking electronics of some form
Q appears
Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.
Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently
Bond uses explosives
The plot will be predominantly set in present day
Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts
The main theme song will be sung by a female
The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Fatal-if-missed aerial jump
A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds
Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.
Asia will appear on screen
Someone goes through a pane of glass
A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent
It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)
The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.
"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned
Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)
Someone in the movie says the title
@HenriThunberg enjoys the film
It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die
The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.
South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen
The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.
Bond rides a motorcycle
A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it
>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release
Critics will say it's a return to classic bond
A sniper rifle is fired
At least a portion filmed in Canada
Blue-eyed Bond
There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting
Bond wields a Walther PPK
Interracial sex scene
Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)
Jungle / forest scene
M will be played by Ralph Fiennes
Bond flys an aircraft
James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government
Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.
Casino game scene
>= 7.0 IMDB rating 1 year after release
Bond parachutes
It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)
Bond wears shorts
Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present
>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release
Arctic scene
Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing
Bond gets slapped
Prison/jail scene
A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne
Black market trafficking
Someone climbs around on the outside of a building
Released in 2028
Skydiving
The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.
Bond licks something
Bond and a pond shown on screen together
Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)
someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)
Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)
Bond slaps someone
A scene shows James Bond naked
Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall
Death of a Bond love interest
James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.
A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)
Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth
Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)
There will be a voiced character that is an AI
Bond rides a bicycle
Torture
Bond receives a gunshot wound
A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens
Wilhelm scream
The title will refer to life and/or death
@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand
Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack
Bond drives a boat
A safe is cracked (any means possible)
Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)
James Bond plays poker
Bond commits arson
Cryptocurrency is referenced
Oral sex
Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar
Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen
Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time
Terrorists
US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)
Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case
Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.
Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen
A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot
Desert scene
Nazis (neo- counts)
The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)
Ski chase scene
Drug use
Someone/something is x-rayed
Thunderstorm
Dessert scene
An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)
President of the United States is mentioned
IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...
Robots
Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail
It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)
Bond has facial hair
Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick
Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)
There will be a promotional event in Fortnite
Bond wears a mask
Sharks
Cocaine or caviar appears on screen
James Bond plays baccarat
Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses
Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage
Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet
Bond will be in a submarine
Bond goes to space
Bond is LQBTQ+
Bond rides an animal
James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't
Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)
Main villain speaks Russian on screen
Bond has a disability
Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage
Mexico is shown on screen
Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen
Jetpack
The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)
A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)
Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)
An EMP device plays a central role.
Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned
At least one named character below 18 years old
Canada is shown on screen
Orgy
Will feature something that can turn invisible
Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)
Underwater combat
The word "fuck" is said more than once.
With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖
Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)
The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.
Bond is blond
Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone
Someone sees something incredible, and implicitly ascribes it to alcohol (traditionally, by looking at the bottle)
A pinball machine will appear.
Pirates
Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift
Assplay
Bond plays Russian roulette
Emilia Clarke portrays a character
Bond won't be Caucasian
A hamburger appears on screen
Bond uses a VR headset
Bond has a neck tattoo
Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond
Nuclear explosion
Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine
Satanism
Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.
fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name
It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.
Gay sex scene
ChatGPT is referenced by any character
Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene
Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)
A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"
Theme song is performed by The Weeknd
San Francisco is shown on screen
Pegging
Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)
Horse cock on screen (flaccid)
Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz
A clocks shows the time 4:20
Feature Nightcore music
Supernatural entities
Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.
There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American
Bond uses chopsticks
Released in 2026
Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)
Any character says the word "anime"
Vampires
Bond vapes
The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.
Bond dies
The fourth wall is broken
Scat play
Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)
Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme
Horse cock on screen (erect)
Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).
The handkerchief code is a major plot element
James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."
Bond is vegan
It will be directed by a woman
Bond plays League of Legends
Destiny appears on screen
Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”
Dragons
Dinosaurs
It will be directed by Christopher Nolan
Bond hits the griddy
98
98
97
95
95
94
93
92
91
90
90
90
89
86
86
85
85
84
83
83
82
82
81
80
77
76
75
72
72
70
69
69
69
68
68
66
63
62
62
60
60
59
58
57
57
56
56
55
55
55
54
54
53
53
53
53
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
49
49
49
49
48
48
48
46
45
45
45
45
45
45
43
43
43
43
43
42
41
41
41
40
40
39
39
39
38
38
38
37
37
37
36
36
36
35
35
35
34
34
33
33
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
31
30
30
30
30
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
28
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
25
24
24
23
23
23
23
22
22
22
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
20
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
17
17
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
Callum Turner
Jacob Elordi
Other
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Harris Dickinson
James Norton
Aaron Pierre
Jack Lowden
Anthony Boyle
Theo James
Damson Idris
Henry Cavill
Paddy Gibson
Tom Holland
Daryl McCormack
Sam Claflin
Paapa Essiedu
Robert Pattinson
Regé-Jean Page
Cillian Murphy
Tom Hardy
Charlie Hunnam
Dev Patel
40
19
16
6
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Aliashkhab Khizriev
Farid Basharat
Khamzat Chimaev
Ilia Topuria
Nurullo Aliev
Movsar Evloev
Azamat Murzakanov
Rafael Ramos Estevam
Andre Lima
Mario Pinto
Lerone Murphy
Jacobe Smith
Michael Morales
Torrez Finney
Hyun Sung Park
89
88
87
85
84
84
83
81
81
78
78
77
76
74
0
0
OptionProbability
Callum Turner
Other
Jacob Elordi
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Henry Cavil
Harris Dickinson
Tom Holland
Theo James
Jack Lowden
Idris Elba
Tom Hardy
Tom Hiddleston
Cillian Murphy
Paul Mescal
Pierce Brosnan
41
21
17
8
3
3
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)
Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)
Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)
Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)
Bianca He (Chicago)
Jessica Li (Chicago)
Meichen Qian (Chicago)
Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)
Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)
Patrick Adams (MIT)
Christian Kontz (Stanford)
Pauline Liang (Stanford)
Oliver Xie (Stanford)
Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)
26
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
24
OptionProbability
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Chris Van Hollen
Ilhan Omar
Chris Murphy
Pete Buttigieg
Rahm Emanuel
Barack Obama
Kamala Harris
J B Pritzker
Gavin Newsom
Hillary Clinton
Josh Shapiro
John Fetterman
72
68
65
61
35
31
31
28
28
22
20
14
3
OptionProbability
Entrants Left
Zhao Xintong or Hawkins B
Selby M or Zhou Yuelong
Trump J or Chang Bingyu
Wilson K or Zhang Anda
O'Sullivan R or Wu Yize
Robertson N or Allen M
Williams MJ or Higgins J
Murphy S or Xiao Guodong
20
14
14
13
8
8
8
8
7
OptionProbability
Other
Chris Van Hollen
Brian Schatz
Chris Murphy
Martin Heinrich
50
24
11
8
8
