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Prediction markets for Dong Jun

Who will lose his job first: Defense Secretary Hegseth or Defense Minister Dong?

Apr 22, 3:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8151

OptionProbability

Pete Hegseth

Dong Jun

76

24

Will Dong Jun still be Defence Minister of China at the beginning of 2026?

Jan 22, 4:41 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

35.43%chance

5114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99

45

Will a spokesperson for the PRC Ministry of National Defense confirm that Dong Jun is under investigation by this date?

Dec 16, 9:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

215

OptionProbability

January 1st 2026

January 1st 2027

January 1st 2028

July 1st 2025

50

50

50

41

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