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Prediction markets for Dor

Who will win the 2030 Fields Medals?

Sep 15, 5:01 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

278636

OptionProbability

Other

Will Sawin

Amol Aggarwal

Alex Smith

Ewain Gwynne

Jeremy Hahn

Alexander Dunn

Ruixiang Zhang

Hong Wang

Dor Minzer

Julian Sahasrabudhe

Marcelo Campos

Ashwin Sah

Lisa Sauermann

Mehtaab Sawhney

Cristiana De Filippis

David Budden

24

20

12

9

8

8

4

4

3

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Dorry & Brogy Stock

May 11, 2:39 PMMay 11, 6:29 PM

192563

OptionProbability

NO

YES

368

242

Which dormant memes will make a comeback by 2027?

May 18, 2:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

51027

OptionProbability

"Hodor"

"*X intensifies*"

"Bad Luck Brian"

"Me Gusta"

"Advice Mallard"

"Socially Awkward Penguin"

Ugandan knuckles

"Philosoraptor"

28

27

27

26

26

26

26

21

Will Jack Dorsey (Co-founder of Twitter) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 2, 7:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.73%chance

17804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1368

937

Will Borussia Dortmund's womens football team complete their speedrun and make it to the 1. Bundesliga by 2027?

Apr 8, 8:28 AMJul 1, 9:59 PM

48.41%chance

5114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

125

Will the Dorabella Cipher be broken with a published proof by EOY 2034?

Mar 4, 4:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.13%chance

485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

205

124

Will Frito-Lay release either Doritos-flavored Cheetos or Cheetos-flavored Doritos before 2030?

Dec 4, 5:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.79%chance

441

OptionVotes

NO

YES

98

50

Will the USA's CVN-81 "Doris Miller" Aircraft Carrier be launched and commissioned by the end of 2032 as planned?

Nov 27, 7:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.93%chance

533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

105

[Long Bet 78 clone (dormant challenge)] 4-day week officially implemented in 6 countries before 2070.

Aug 31, 1:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.24%chance

231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Do cats fart while sleeping?/I gatti scoreggiano mentre dormono?

Oct 24, 3:08 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50.99%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

530

510

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