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Prediction markets for Driver

Which car company will drive between New York to San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat first?

Sep 9, 12:44 PMSep 16, 10:59 PM

7757085

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

Other

openpilot

General Motors

Cavendish Labs

None (does not happen by market close)

80

16

4

0

0

0

0

Will there be a popular fad to put a life-size plastic skeleton in the driver’s seat of a self-driving car before 2030

Jun 18, 5:06 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

28.31%chance

325229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1591

628

Will Lewis Hamilton win a Driver's World Championship with Ferrari?

Feb 6, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.47%chance

324311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3731

504

Drunk driving is legal again for self-driving car drivers in at least one US state before 2033

Jun 26, 7:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.41%chance

693556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2046

818

Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?

Jul 19, 1:22 PMJun 29, 10:01 PM

14.14%chance

463278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2050

600

Will a mass driver be constructed on the Moon before 2060?

Aug 7, 6:51 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

61%chance

312373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1405

572

Will more than 200,000 US truck drivers lose their jobs by 2028?

May 7, 2:25 AMMay 1, 10:59 PM

20.21%chance

241815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1839

634

Will I regret not getting a drivers license in 2023 by 2030?

Dec 29, 10:55 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.79%chance

14956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

1128

Will a mass driver be constructed on the Moon before 2100?

Jun 10, 12:45 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

68.65%chance

20933

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

947

Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?

May 7, 9:29 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

33.16%chance

13890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

767

Will robotic delivery be here by 2029 at a scale to replace a significant share of UPS drivers?

Aug 9, 1:15 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

23.81%chance

20694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

986

Will more than 200,000 US truck drivers lose their jobs by 2026?

May 7, 1:55 AMMay 1, 10:59 PM

11.24%chance

11644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1364

924

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