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Prediction markets for Du

Will I think the "AI has a data bottleneck" people are dumb before the end of 2025?

Jan 26, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.41%chance

5762660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25272

4267

Which UFC matchups will take place in 2025?

Dec 6, 2:35 AMDec 13, 4:59 AM

2038276

OptionProbability

Dricus Du Plessis vs. Khamzat Chimaev

Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev

Kayla Harrison vs. Julianna Peña

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara France

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O’Malley 2

Tom Aspinall vs. Cyril Gane

Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira 2

Islam Makhachev vs. Jack Della Maddalena

Alex Pereira vs. Tom Aspinall

Petr Yan vs. Sean O’Malley 2

Ilia Topuria vs. Alexander Volkanovski 2

Jon Jones vs. Tom Aspinall

Belal Muhammad vs. Shavkat Rakhmonov

Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira

Ilia Topuria vs. Diego Lopes

Islam Makhachev vs. Ilia Topuria

Dricus Du Plessis vs. Nassourdine Imavov

Islam Makhachev vs. Arman Tsarukyan

Sean O’Malley vs. Umar Nurmagomedov

Justin Gaethje vs. Arman Tsarukyan

Belal Muhammad vs. Sean Brady 2

Magomed Ankalaev vs. Carlos Ulberg

Magomed Ankalaev vs. Jiri Prochazka

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev

Alexander Volkanovski vs Jean Silva

Jean Silva vs Movsar Evloev

Arman Tsarukyan vs Charles Oliveira 2

Petr Yan vs Umar Nurmagomedov

Ilia Topuria vs. Arman Tsarukyan

Dan Hooker vs. Justin Gaethje

Alexander Volkanovski vs. Yair Rodriguez 2

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

May 30, 1:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

27.82%chance

3118945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14347

7601

Which current UFC champions (including interim) will remain champion through 2025?

Dec 1, 8:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1713572

OptionProbability

Tom Aspinall

Valentina Shevchenko

Alexander Volkanovski

Merab Dvalishvili

Zhang Weill

Jon Jones

Alex Pereira

Dricus Du Plessis

Belal Muhammad

Islam Makhachev

Ilia Topuria

Alexandre Pantoja

Julianna Peña

Magomed Ankalaev

99

99

99

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Supreme Court grants certiorari in Monsanto v. Durnell before 2026?

May 19, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.31%chance

159649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6489

3793

Major internet outage due to undersea cables breaking by end of 2026?

Aug 3, 12:14 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

72.95%chance

303744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4646

3597

Will a non specialized AI assistant master French grammar rule of "L'accord du participe passé" at the end of 2025 ?

Dec 10, 9:33 AMDec 31, 10:00 PM

60.44%chance

311698

OptionVotes

NO

YES

983

969

Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?

Aug 8, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.28%chance

8844

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4652

3621

Will OpenAI make significant changes OR discontinue Sora due to "long-term user satisfaction," two years after launch?

Oct 1, 6:00 PMSep 30, 5:51 PM

8735

OptionProbability

OpenAI makes significant changes to Sora

OpenAI discontinues Sora

51

44

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

21376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

789

Will La Griffe Du Lion be doxx'd by EOY2030?

Aug 26, 5:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Is La Griffe du Lion funny?

Aug 26, 5:05 PM

00

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