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Prediction markets for Easterly

Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030

Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

15%chance

112280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will @Tumbles place a bet before Easter 2026? [read description]

May 4, 5:01 PMApr 5, 4:59 AM

5.12%chance

142000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

431

23

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

29.95%chance

5819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

654

Will the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) become extinct in the current century?

Feb 21, 11:25 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.51%chance

12372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

769

262

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

907

Will microplastics become an easter egg/feature in any video game (eg a sims clone) by EOY2029?

Sep 21, 5:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.53%chance

1320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

416

24

Will there be a Fatwa issued by a middle eastern country in 2025?

Jan 8, 5:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.08%chance

5297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

337

30

Easter Bunny stock

Apr 10, 5:36 AMApr 11, 3:59 AM

15169

OptionProbability

NO

YES

288

246

NBA Eastern Conference stock

May 2, 2:58 AMMay 2, 3:59 AM

10152

OptionProbability

NO

YES

155

145

Will there be at least 100MW of operational geothermal capacity in the eastern united states by 2034?

Nov 1, 6:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.94%chance

3150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

By 2026, will a popular video game company announce the use of AI-based steganography to hide Easter eggs?

May 19, 3:33 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

40.36%chance

973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

180

Will the population of Eastern and South-Eastern Asia exceed 2.45 billion this century?

Nov 2, 1:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.75%chance

25

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

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