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Top stories

San Francisco Moves to End Fines for Parking in Private Driveways

US Domestic Policy

San Francisco Moves to End Fines for Parking in Private Driveways

Authors

3

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Ed

Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

58%chance

9557

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1175

851

Will Ed Gallrein underperform Trump?

May 20, 4:51 AMNov 20, 4:50 AM

90.84%chance

3304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1304

964

In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances?

Mar 30, 2:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10288

OptionProbability

Helped with >80% confidence

Helped with >60% confidence

Uncertain

Harmed with >60% confidence

Harmed with >80% confidence

64

23

7

5

1

Will ed boyden prefrontal cortex turn into more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.59%chance

1173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

45

Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?

Mar 24, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.56%chance

14166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

996

Will Ed Boyden win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 10, 7:05 AMJan 28, 4:59 AM

16.59%chance

4100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

70

Ed Sheeran has a billboard number 1 single in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.6%chance

470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

170

Will Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein?

May 17, 7:33 AMDec 31, 6:32 AM

5.58%chance

355

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

90

Will Ed Markey be the longest serving congressperson ever?

Feb 5, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.58%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

91

Will I get ED CMU SCS 2026

Dec 17, 12:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.99%chance

242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

980

Will ANYONE from the Ed boyden lab win nobel prize by EOY 2033

Jan 22, 11:44 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

36.98%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85

58

Will Jose Ricon OR Adam Marblestone OR Ed Boyden OR Steve Horvath OR Jeremy nixon get a pet axolotl by 2032?

Sep 16, 7:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Domestic Policy
San Francisco
Politics
San Francisco Moves to End Fines for Parking in Private Driveways
Authors
3
10 months ago

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