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Prediction markets for Ellis
OptionVotes
9492
106
OptionProbability
55
50
50
18
15
14
13
5
5
5
3
3
1
OptionProbability
40
15
7
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
There is between the Earth and Mars a china teapot revolving in an elliptical orbit
Apr 5, 7:45 PMApr 5, 8:59 PM
62157
OptionProbability
151
96
Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
Nov 1, 5:47 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
29.22%chance
151328
OptionVotes
1557
642
OptionVotes
404
174
OptionProbability
24
23
20
6
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
Will Larry Ellison be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Mar 10, 12:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.56%chance
4196
OptionVotes
306
70
Which of the following quantum computing technologies will first succeed in breaking 256-bit Elliptic Curve Encryption?
Nov 30, 1:35 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
8138
OptionProbability
36
36
9
9
5
5
OptionVotes
206
49
OptionVotes
203
55
Will SBF, Ryan Salame, or Caroline Ellison place a trade on a prediction market within a year after their release?
Mar 10, 1:25 AMMar 10, 12:25 AM
46.64%chance
435
OptionVotes
107
93

