OptionProbability
No one by end of 2026
Scott Bessent
Michael Kratsios
Other
David Sacks
Elon Musk
Sriram Krishnan
Marc Andreessen
Jensen Huang
Marco Rubio
J.D. Vance
Emil Michael
Sam Altman
Peter Thiel
Katherine Boyle
Mark Zuckerberg
Donald Trump
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Leopold Aschenbrenner
Rudy Giuliani
Dean Ball
Dario Amodei
Tim Cook
Séb Krier
Keith Rabois
Jacob Helberg
33
20
14
6
2
1
0
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