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Prediction markets for Emmanuel
OptionProbability
19
13
10
10
9
8
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
48
13
11
9
5
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
45
13
12
11
6
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM
4.1%chance
9934619
OptionVotes
3768
661
OptionProbability
96
93
91
89
89
86
85
81
80
80
80
79
77
77
76
74
74
74
73
72
71
69
69
69
69
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
67
66
63
62
62
61
59
59
58
57
56
55
55
55
54
54
53
53
53
53
49
48
45
43
42
41
39
38
37
36
36
35
33
32
32
32
31
30
30
30
29
28
28
27
27
26
24
21
21
18
16
16
14
13
11
10
10
9
8
6
6
5
4
3
2
1
1
Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
Oct 19, 8:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
2.87%chance
355108
OptionVotes
3349
832
Will Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?
May 12, 1:59 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
11.62%chance
243987
OptionVotes
1279
930
Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
Dec 2, 6:45 PMJun 1, 9:59 PM
5.35%chance
233525
OptionVotes
2333
348
Will Emmanuel Macron publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Mar 19, 12:52 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
14.39%chance
16941
OptionVotes
508
161
Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?
Aug 24, 7:17 PMApr 10, 9:59 PM
7.35%chance
8580
OptionVotes
355
28
OptionProbability
210
209
Will Michael Trazzi and Emmanuel Macron get to meet by EOY2028?
Feb 17, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.61%chance
5121
OptionVotes
190
53


