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Prediction markets for Eric

Is Eric Berger right about how the Starliner saga will play out?

Aug 9, 9:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

229742

OptionProbability

Starliner returns uncrewed with minimal problems in the next month

Starliner-1 flies in 2026

NASA pays Boeing to fly Starliner with cargo in 2025

All of the above

100

7

0

0

Will Hunter Biden fight Donald Trump Jr or Eric Trump in 2026?

Apr 10, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.02%chance

108552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1698

934

Levy Rozman (Gotham Chess) or Eric Rosen becomes a GM by 2035

Jan 24, 10:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.21%chance

433114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

825

Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)

Feb 13, 7:22 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

55.73%chance

14789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

891

Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028?

Apr 12, 8:55 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

13.68%chance

18625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

871

395

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.7%chance

14622

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

406

Will Eric Drexler ever win a Nobel Prize?

Mar 20, 10:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.17%chance

6311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

346

111

Will Eric Rosen join Manifold before the end of 2026?

Jan 15, 2:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.24%chance

8107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

157

eric and lara trump divorce before 2029?

Mar 4, 7:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.65%chance

580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

66

Will Eric Zhu of aviato (@ericzhu105) get someone pregnant by EOY2030?

Oct 19, 2:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.71%chance

170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Will the Eric Andre Show come back for a Season 7 by 2027?

Apr 2, 10:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.39%chance

326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

115

Eric switches academic subjects by eoy

Jan 13, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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