Evans News
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Prediction markets for Evans
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
81
74
62
60
52
51
50
40
37
32
32
24
24
23
17
16
13
12
10
8
8
8
7
If AGI has an okay outcome, which researcher first publicised the agenda that was most responsible?
Jul 24, 7:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
287407
OptionProbability
60
5
5
5
5
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
179
104
Will Chris Evans appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?
Jan 27, 10:08 AMDec 17, 10:00 AM
62.48%chance
17412
OptionVotes
247
68
Will Evan McMullen (@gnomicperfect) meet Luca Rade, Alex Zhu, or Valerie Zhang by 2030
Sep 23, 11:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
89.45%chance
2210
OptionVotes
291
34
Which drivers will place on the podium at the 2026 WRC ueno Rally del Paraguay
Aug 2, 6:54 PMAug 30, 6:59 PM
2194
OptionProbability
39
39
35
24
24
24
OptionVotes
131
76
Will mason, Jose Luis Ricon, Evan Lin, Henry Bass, adic_9, janus/repligate all get to live in a treehouse by 2027?
Jul 27, 11:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.31%chance
125
OptionVotes
124
80
Will @adic_9, Henry Bass, Evan Lin, Chris Lakin, Claire Wang, and autism hexafluoride all live in a CABIN together?
Jul 27, 5:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91
Will Evan McMullen (of the stoa) and Stephen Hsu both get to meet in Michigan in 2025/2026?
Nov 24, 8:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Do you believe @evan should have been punished by the mods for the market in the description?
Sep 14, 8:42 PMSep 22, 4:59 AM
600


