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Fabien Galthié News

Who will win the 2027 french presidential election

Jan 24, 7:34 PMJun 6, 9:59 PM

468664

OptionProbability

Gabriel Attal

Jordan Bardella

Other

Edouard Philippe

Marine le Pen

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Dominique de Villepin

François Ruffin

Tony Estanguet

François Bayrou

Eric Ciotti

Manuel Bompard

Bruno Le Maire

Gerald Darmanin

Fabien Roussel

Emmanuel Macron

21

19

16

12

7

5

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

Who will be the President of France at some point in their life?

Mar 27, 8:07 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM

587075

OptionProbability

Gabriel Attal

Jordan Bardella

Edouard Philippe

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Marine Le Pen

Xavier Bertrand

Olivier Faure

Bruno Le Maire

Yannick Jadot

François Ruffin

Gérald Darmanin

Jean Castex

Nathalie Arthaud

Éric Zemmour

Laurent Wauquiez

Yaël Braun-Pivet

Élisabeth Borne

Benoît Hamon

Jean Lassalle

Fabien Roussel

Philippe Poutou

Anne Hidalgo

Valérie Pécresse

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Carole Delga

58

29

16

15

13

11

11

9

9

8

7

7

7

7

7

6

6

6

6

6

5

5

5

4

3

A Roblox developer will be valued at $1 Billion

Sep 10, 2:52 PMSep 9, 2:47 PM

64.58%chance

16840

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

734

A school will integrate a full K-12 curriculum with Roblox, including language classes and virtual field

Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:01 PM

18.11%chance

11836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

960

A Fortune 500 company will use a Roblox experience as part of their recruiting process

Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:03 PM

17.08%chance

16325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

879

For 17+ verified people in 17+ experiences: Thousands of adults will meet for the first time in Roblox dating experience

Sep 10, 3:01 PMSep 8, 3:00 PM

91.28%chance

5270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

345

27

Roblox employees will spend more time using Roblox for remote meetings than with video

Sep 10, 3:00 PMSep 8, 3:00 PM

19.19%chance

8207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

64

Some Roblox creators will make more money from selling physical merchandise on Roblox than virtual merchandise

Sep 10, 2:57 PMSep 9, 2:56 PM

81.65%chance

4156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

234

43

A top fashion designer will be discovered on Roblox, without having any experience in physical fashion

Sep 10, 2:55 PMSep 9, 2:54 PM

34.74%chance

8123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

183

We will share a universal civility metric, and show that for most players, it increases over time

Sep 10, 2:57 PMSep 9, 2:57 PM

69.9%chance

687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

106

Will the first AI to achieve 90% accuracy at interview APPS problems primarily use text?

Oct 2, 2:59 PMOct 10, 6:59 AM

82.86%chance

266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

43

Will the first AI to pass a 2-hour adversarial Turing test primarily use text?

Oct 2, 2:58 PMOct 10, 6:59 AM

70.01%chance

434

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

89

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