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Prediction markets for Fed

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.53%chance

3945415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27696

3611

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

82.38%chance

2635273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

841

Will the Fed be abolished during Trump's term?

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

3.91%chance

259052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4956

202

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair?

Jul 4, 3:31 PMMay 1, 3:28 PM

235050

OptionProbability

Other

Christopher Waller

Stephen Miran

Kevin Warsh

Kevin Hassett

Janet Yellen

Scott Bessent

30

17

14

13

13

11

2

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Jul 16, 7:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.47%chance

343000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

34

Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?

Apr 18, 12:20 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

49.4%chance

101536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

988

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

12.95%chance

161222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2127

703

Will the next rate change by the Fed be an interest rate increase?

Jan 16, 10:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.21%chance

101030

OptionVotes

YES

NO

664

15

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.74%chance

13436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

977

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?

May 24, 5:51 AMMay 24, 6:59 AM

55%chance

11243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

242

109

Trump creates and appoints a shadow Fed chair?

Apr 22, 11:07 AMMay 30, 10:59 PM

20.46%chance

7214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

592

481

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