OptionVotes
YES
NO
1916
723
OptionProbability
Before 2035-01-01
Before 2030-01-01
Before 2028-01-01
Before 2027-01-01
Before 2026-01-01
Before 2024-06-01
Before 2025-01-01
97
95
92
87
63
0
140
83
WEAK-TO-STRONG GENERALIZATION: ELICITING STRONG CAPABILITIES WITH WEAK SUPERVISION
Textbooks Are All You Need
Graph of Thoughts: Solving Elaborate Problems with Large Language Models
ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models
PaLM 2 Technical Report
Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models
Mathematical discoveries from program search with large language models
GAIA: a benchmark for General AI Assistants
Mixture-of-Depths: Dynamically allocating compute in transformer-based language models
82
59
52
49
48
23
