OptionProbability
Jaxson Dart - Giants
Tyler Shough - Saints
Fernando Mendoza - Raiders
Shedeur Sanders - Browns
Malik Willis - Jets
Brady Cook - Jets
Ty Simpson - Steelers
Malik Willis - Steelers
Ty Simpson - Jets
Trinidad Chambliss - Steelers
David Mills - Texans
Gardner Minshew - Chiefs
Daniel Jones - Vikings
Kirk Cousins - Vikings
Trinidad Chambliss - Jets
Kirk Cousins - Falcons
Malik Willis - Browns
Dillion Gabriel - Browns
Tyrod Taylor - Jets
Deshaun Watson - Browns
Trinidad Chambliss - Browns
Ty Simpson - Browns
91
85
74
67
25
23
22
21
20
18
16
14
12
11
9
8
6
Number Go Up (Zeke Faux)
The Big Short (Michael Lewis)
Superforecasting (Dan Gardner and Philip Tetlock) - @JeromeHPowell
Our Mathematical Universe (Max Tegmark) - @TheAllMemeingEye
Sapiens (Yuval Noah Harari) - @TheAllMemeingEye
Permanent Record (Edward Snowden) - @JeromeHPowell
Red Heart (by @MaxHarms)
Superintelligence (Nick Bostrom) - @TheAllMemeingEye
The Optimist (Keach Hagey)
On the Edge (Nate Silver)
The Age of Em (@RobinHanson)
Animal Liberation (Now) (Peter Singer) - @TheAllMemeingEye
80,000 Hours (Benjamin Todd)
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies (@EliezerYudkowsky and @so8res)
100
83
72
58
57
56
50
46
44
41
0
Caroline Elliott
Bruce Banman
Other
Iain Black
Sheldon Clare
Harman Bhangu
Peter Milobar
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
Chris Gardner
Warren Hamm
Darrell Jones
No one by December 31, 2026
Yuri Fulmer
48
5
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
NO
YES
95
82
250