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OptionProbability
(JAP) Red flag during Qualyfing session
[BAH] Safety car during the race
[BAH] Yuki Tsunoda scores points
[BAH] Bearman scores points
[SAU] Safety Car during the race
[SAU] Tsunoda makes it into Q3
[SAU] Leclerc will get top 4 in the race
[MIA] Norris qualifies ahead of Piastri (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Non-Mclaren pole in Sprint Qualifying
[MIA] Piastri finishes ahead of Norris in GP
[MIA] Williams double points in the main GP
[MIA] Over 3.5 Drivers DNF in the main race
[MIA] Both McLaren on the podium
[IMO] Physical Safety Car during the race
[IMO] Max Verstappen Podium Finish
[IMO] Colapinto replaces Doohan in at least one session
[IMO] Piastri qualifies ahead of Norris
[IMO] Tsunoda scores point(s)
[MON] Red Flag during Qualifying
[MON] Pole Sitter wins the race
[MON] At least one impeding penalty during qualifying
[MON] 4+ pit stops in the first 5 laps
[MON] Norris scores more points than Piastri
[MON] Yellow flag on the 1st lap of the race
[MON] Both Ferraris finish in top 5
[SPA] Both Ferraris reach Q3
[SPA] McLaren Pole Position
[SPA] McLaren 1-2 (race)
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[CAN] Red Flag during Qualifying
[CAN] Stroll starts the race
[CAN] Impeding penalty during Qualifying (at least 1)
[CAN] Mercedes Podium
[CAN] Hulkenberg finishes in top 10
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[AUT] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AUT] Yellow flag first lap
[AUT] Bortoleto reaches Q3
[AUT] McLaren 1-2
[AUT] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[AUT] Bortoleto finishes top 10
[GBR] Yellow Flag first lap
[GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[GBR] McLaren 1-2 (race)
[GBR] Non-McLaren pole position
[GBR] VSR virtual safety car during the race.
[GBR] Gasly finishes in top 10
[BEL] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[BEL] McLaren double podium (main race)
[BEL] Intermediate or wet weather tyres needed for the main race
[BEL] A Ferrari driver doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)
[BEL] Bortoleto reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[BEL] Leclerc podium (main race)
[BEL] Bortoleto in the top 10 (main race)
[BEL] Hamilton top 10 (main race)
[HUN] Leclerc finished ahead of Hamilton in the race
[HUN] At least two drivers DNF
[HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[HUN] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] Bortoleto finishes in the points
Leave it open for upcoming GP
[HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race
[MIA] Safety car in the main race
[HUN] Antonelli finishes in the points
[BEL] Yellow flag first lap (main race)
[HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least 1)
(JAP) Safety car during the race
(JAP) A rookie crashes and cannot finish the race (technical problems at the gearbox, power unit etc. won't count, it needs to be a crash)
(JAP) Yuki Tsunoda scores points
[JAP] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda
[BAH] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda
[BAH] Ferrari on the podium (at least 1 driver)
[SAU] Mercedes podium (at least 1 driver)
[SAU] McLaren double podium
[SAU] Bearman scores points
[MIA] 🇮🇹 Kimi Antonelli wins the sprint race
[MIA] 🟥 Red flag during main race qualifying
[MIA] Antonelli on the Podium
[IMO] Piastri scores more points than Norris
[IMO] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[IMO] Aston Martin both drivers score points
[MON] Physical Safety Car during the race
[MON] Both Mercedes score points (i.e. top 10)
[SPA] Virtual Safety Car during the race
[SPA] Yellow flag first lap
[SPA] Tsunoda goes into Q3
[SPA] Sauber reaches Q3 (at least one driver)
[SPA] someone receives a penalty for obstructing during qualifying
[SPA] Tsunoda finishes in top 10 (race)
[SPA] Hamilton finishes ahead of Leclerc (race)
[SPA] Bortoleto finishes in top 10 (race)
[CAN] Yellow flag first lap
[CAN] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[CAN] Both Williams reach Q3
[CAN] Williams scores over 5.5 WCC points
[AUT] 3 different teams on the podium
[AUT] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[AUT] Stroll reaches Q3
[AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[AUT] Williams scores points (at least one driver)
[AUT] Verstappen penalty for forcing another driver off the track or a collision.
[GBR] Both HAAS cars finish in the points (top 10)
[GBR] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[GBR] Williams reaches Q3 (at least 1 driver)
[GBR] At least one Ferrari on the podium
[GBR] Bearman finishes in top 10
[GBR] At least one Mercedes on the podium
[BEL] Two or more cars DNF (main race)
[BEL] Ferrari in top 3 in the Sprint Qualifying (at least 1 driver)
[BEL] McLaren 1-2 in the Sprint race
[BEL] Verstappen gets a penalty in either the sprint or main race
[BEL] Leclerc on the podium in the sprint race
[BEL] Red flag during qualifying (for the main race)
[BEL] main race is cancelled/aborted
[HUN] Tsunoda reaches Q3
100
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100
100
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100
100
100
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100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
93
67
62
62
55
53
50
41
40
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
Lando Norris (McLaren)
Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
George Russel (Mercedes)
Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
Yuki Tsunoda (Previously Liam Lawson) (Red Bull)
Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)
Pierre Gasly (Alpine)
Jack Doohan (Alpine)
Alexander Albon (Williams)
Carlos Sainz Jr. (Williams)
Liam Lawson (Previously Yuki Tsunoda) (Visa Cash App Racing Bulls)
Isack Hadjar (Visa Cash App Racing Bulls)
Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber/Stake)
Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber/Stake)
Esteban Ocon (Haas)
Ollie Bearman (Haas)
72
24
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
4/6 (Suzuka - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
4/20 (Jeddah) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Antonelli?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Sainz?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Albon?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Ocon?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Tsunoda?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hadjar?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Bortoleto?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Doohan?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Lawson?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hulkenberg?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Alonso?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Stroll?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Bearman?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Antonelli?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Russell?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Sainz?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Albon?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Ocon?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Tsunoda?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hadjar?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Bortoleto?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Doohan?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Lawson?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hulkenberg?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Alonso?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Gasly?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Stroll?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Bearman?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hadjar?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Russell?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Russell?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Leclerc?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Hamilton?
08/3 (Budapest) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
08/3 (Budapest) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
08/3 (Budapest) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
11/9 (Sao Paulo) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
10/5 (Singapore) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
08/3 (Budapest) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
10/26 (Mexico City) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
11/22 (Las Vegas) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
11/30 (Lusail) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
09/7 (Monza) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
12/7 (Yas Marina) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
10/19 (COTA) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
3/16 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
3/23 (Shanghai) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
4/13 (Sakhir - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
7/6 (Silverstone) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Ocon OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Stroll OUT FINISH Norris?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Hadjar?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Ocon?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Lawson?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Lawson OUT FINISH Russell?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Sainz OUT FINISH Russell?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Sainz OUT FINISH Ocon?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Gasly OUT FINISH Russell?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Sainz OUT FINISH Gasly?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Russell?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Leclerc?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Norris?
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100
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100
100
100
100
100
100
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100
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100
100
100
100
65
55
41
37
34
31
31
31
31
31
31
30
20
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Lando Norris
Oscar Piastri
George Russell
Charles Leclerc
Max Verstappen
Lewis Hamilton
Nico Hulkenberg
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Sergio Perez
Alex Albon
Gabriel Bortoleto
Pierre Gasly
Carlos Sainz
Isack Hadjar
Lance Stroll
Oliver Bearman
Liam Lawson
Estaban Ocon
Fernando Alonso
Franco Alejandro Colapinto
Valtteri Bottas
Yuki Tsunoda
Arvid Lindblad
Jack Doohan
Kevin Magnussen
Daniel Riccardo
Zhou Guanyu
98
96
96
96
95
95
95
95
93
93
92
89
86
86
84
81
79
77
74
66
64
58
55
21
11
7
6
OptionProbability
Lando Norris (McLaren)
Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
Yuki Tsunoda (Previously Liam Lawson) (Red Bull)
George Russel (Mercedes)
Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)
Pierre Gasly (Alpine)
Jack Doohan (Alpine)
Alexander Albon (Williams)
Carlos Sainz Jr. (Williams)
Liam Lawson (Previously Yuki Tsunoda) (VCARB)
Isack Hadjar (VCARB)
Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber/Stake)
Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber/Stake)
Esteban Ocon (Haas)
Ollie Bearman (Haas)
32
32
28
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Will Verstappen outscore Lawson
Will Gasly outscore Doohan
Will Hulkenberg outscore Bortoleto
Will Gasly outscore Colapinto
Will Leclerc outscore Hamilton
Will Russel outscore Antonelli
Will Norris outscore Piastri
Will Alonso outscore Stroll
Will Tsunoda outscore Hadjar
Will Sainz outscore Albon
Will Lawson outscore Adjar
Will Bearman outscore Ocon
99
98
97
95
91
89
74
66
21
13
5
1
OptionProbability
Oscar Piastri
Lando Norris
Kimi Antonelli
Charles Leclerc
George Russell
Gabriel Bortoleto
Other
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Alex Albon
Yuki Tsunoda
Esteban Ocon
Pierre Gasly
63
28
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Will Verstappen get more points than Tsunoda
Will Russell get more points than Antonelli
Will Hulkenberg get more points than Bortoleto
Will Alonso get more points than Stroll
Will Albon get more points than Sainz
Will Leclerc get more points than Hamilton
Will Gasly get more points than Colapinto
Will Ocon get more points than Bearman
Will Norris get more points than Piastri
Will Lawson get more points than Hadjar
94
89
87
81
80
78
76
69
35
34
OptionProbability
Will Alonso beat Stroll
Will Gasly beat Colapinto
Will Hadjar Beat Lawson
Will Ocon beat Bearman
Will Albon beat Sainz
Will Hülkenberg beat Bortoleto
Will Norris beat Piastri
Will Hamilton beat Leclerc
Will Antonelli beat Russell
Will Tsunoda beat Verstappen
77
73
68
59
55
49
41
40
14
10
OptionProbability
Girlboss
Gatekeep
Gaslight
65
18
17