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Top stories

White House, Newsom Clash Over DOJ Antisemitism Findings at UCLA

US Domestic Policy

White House, Newsom Clash Over DOJ Antisemitism Findings at UCLA

Authors

14

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Gavin

Will Gavin Baker's forecast that it'll be abjectly humiliating for everyone who is a Tesla FSD skeptic hold?

Aug 27, 8:13 PMFeb 2, 2:59 AM

5445815

OptionProbability

18-months (27th Jan 2026)

12 months (27th Aug 2025)

6 months (27th Jan 2025)

17

5

0

Will Gavin Newsom be elected President in 2028?

Apr 16, 6:56 PMNov 6, 11:59 PM

10.32%chance

5630291

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

965

Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

Jul 4, 12:46 AMJul 11, 8:59 PM

4113216

OptionProbability

Other

Katie Porter

Betty Yee

Antonio Villaraigosa

Toni Atkins

Rick Caruso

Rob Bonta

Kamala Harris

Eleni Kounalakis

Tony Thurmond

Xavier Becerra

Jesse Perez

Michael L. Younger

32

15

13

10

9

7

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

Jan 15, 10:24 PMDec 22, 4:59 AM

17%chance

4512788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1237

928

When will Trump issue Gavin newsom's arrest warrant?

Jun 9, 7:53 PMDec 31, 8:53 PM

267490

OptionProbability

Not before 2026

October

November

December

June

July

August

September

Other

90

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will Gavin Newsom run for president in 2028?

Nov 28, 4:18 AMNov 21, 5:59 AM

85.01%chance

394968

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1638

829

Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?

Jan 19, 2:09 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

24.91%chance

484442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1436

798

Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?

Oct 22, 10:02 AMNov 9, 7:59 AM

84.96%chance

413558

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1638

832

Will Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?

Oct 25, 4:00 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

16.31%chance

383532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1536

829

Will Gavin Newsom ever be elected President?

Oct 16, 3:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16.69%chance

211636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1368

886

Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California?

Jun 28, 7:30 AMJan 6, 7:59 AM

96.4%chance

9458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

518

19

Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?

Dec 5, 3:27 PMNov 9, 6:59 AM

50.74%chance

335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

985

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