OptionProbability
2050s
2060s
2040s
2030s
2020s
37
34
14
9
5
OptionVotes
YES
NO
227
44
202
50
100
51
America's president is older than China's top leader
The independent polity of Taiwan (ie no foreign hostile troops)
Donald Trump's life
Elon's CEOship of Tesla
Japan's got an emperor or empress who is in residence in Tokyo
The Beatles (Paul or Ringo is still alive)
USS Gerald Ford (aircraft carrier, is seaworthy and in mil service)
The moon's long streak of having no humans on it
Martian soil's virginity to a living human's foot
The 9****** series of CA passenger license plates
North Korea's de facto physical / political independence
Putin's life
59
70
71
69