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Prediction markets for Germa

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

57.71%chance

8118684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

893

Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?

May 28, 3:20 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM

10%chance

407788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3591

300

Will Germanys electricity be 80% renewable by the end of 2030?

Feb 14, 9:25 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

78.53%chance

987497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1736

863

Will you be able to buy Cannabis legally in Germany before 2026?

Nov 23, 8:24 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

12.42%chance

566150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2217

164

Will German trains be on time again by 2030?

May 23, 2:10 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

40%chance

172891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

35%chance

372571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

599

Will Germany‘s economy (real GDP) grow in 2025?

Jan 16, 6:37 PMJan 31, 12:00 AM

63.72%chance

201481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

852

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

54.99%chance

211304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11052

9048

Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:05 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

55.52%chance

10850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

895

Will the energy biding zones for either Germany or France be split by 2030?

Feb 15, 7:29 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

1750

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will one of the significant German car manufacturers cease to exist by 2030?

Apr 9, 1:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.38%chance

10598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

708

Will France have a bigger population than Germany in 2050?

Jun 22, 12:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.91%chance

12203

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

943

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