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Prediction markets for Grande

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize (v1, 2024 dataset) be claimed by end of 2025?

Jun 11, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.89%chance

286686677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22659

4871

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2026?

Oct 11, 6:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.37%chance

7646712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2175

43

Will Joe Biden live to see Grand Theft Auto 6?

Mar 31, 5:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.9%chance

10519465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2033

1573

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?

Oct 4, 11:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.46%chance

6211825

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1898

85

Tennis player(s) to win the most Grand Slam tournaments (singles) in 2025?

Sep 2, 6:28 PMSep 30, 8:59 PM

289289

OptionProbability

🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner

🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz

🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek

🇺🇸 Coco Gauff

Madison Keys

🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic

🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev

Daniil Medvedev

Aryna Sabalenka

🇰🇿 Elena Rybakina

Other

🇮🇹 Jasmine Paolini

71

11

6

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?

Oct 1, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.24%chance

346305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1627

88

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 release before 2026?

Aug 4, 2:44 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

1%chance

193857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4057

13

Will the next version of Microsoft Windows operating system (Windows 12) be released before Grand Theft Auto 6?

Dec 29, 4:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.85%chance

472975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1610

392

When will Grand Theft Auto 6 be released? (months since January 2023)

Nov 23, 8:11 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

34.02%chance

151618

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1126

655

Will the Grand Theft Auto 6 release be delayed until August 1st 2026 or later?

May 5, 3:01 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

32.39%chance

241118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2099

1666

Will there be a Grand Theft Auto movie announced by June 1st 2027?

Dec 17, 11:16 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

40.97%chance

15771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

526

Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before 2030?

Dec 31, 7:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.3%chance

17686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

554

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