Greer News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Greer
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
24
19
19
18
18
18
17
17
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
11
11
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
7
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
What cabinet official in President Trumps administration will resign or be fired?
Nov 9, 5:47 PMJan 17, 4:59 AM
8917428
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
86
84
62
58
53
48
35
34
29
29
27
27
27
24
22
22
22
21
16
10
4
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
98
98
98
98
95
73
71
70
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
41
39
36
35
32
28
26
23
10
3
Will any of these unhinged conspiracy theories turn out to be true by 2040?
Nov 13, 11:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
4410313
OptionProbability
17
11
11
10
10
10
8
7
7
6
OptionProbability
11
10
10
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Nov 26, 4:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
414895
OptionProbability
99
93
92
92
91
91
90
87
84
82
82
78
60
59
59
54
50
45
31
1
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
99
99
64
46
38
30
25
23
21
21
21
21
21
19
18
18
18
18
17
15
15
14
14
13
13
13
11
11
11
7
Which public figures will declare they believe aliens have been hidden by the US government?
Oct 20, 9:35 AMJan 1, 10:23 AM
142287
OptionProbability
100
95
95
90
90
90
90
88
88
88
85
76
76
76
72
63
53
52
46
44
43
35
32
26
17
17
12
12
11
8
6
Will the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 survive the Trump administration?
Aug 5, 4:15 PMJan 6, 5:08 PM
40.59%chance
7510
OptionVotes
1210
826
Will AIs who aren't trained on or exposed to humans argue about qualia by 2050?
Sep 13, 9:17 PMSep 21, 3:59 AM
30.62%chance
448
OptionVotes
150
84
Will we get another high quality data point on Ball Lightning by 2030?
Oct 4, 6:15 PMOct 8, 3:59 AM
69.19%chance
442
OptionVotes
150
85
OptionProbability
75
23
2