Grégoire Hug News

When will OpenAI release a technical report on the Hugging Face hack?

Jul 28, 9:48 PMSep 2, 6:59 AM

3914957

OptionProbability

August 9 - August 15

August 16 - August 22

Later

August 23 - August 29

August 2 - August 8

Before August 2

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Feb 22, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8014586

OptionProbability

None of the above before 2029

Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)

IPO

Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn

Which sexual/romantic acts will James Bond be part of in the next James Bond movie?

Feb 13, 3:16 AMFeb 28, 7:59 PM

656022

OptionProbability

Kissing

Puts his hand on the small of a woman's back (does not have to be romantic/sexual touch)

Sex is implied but not shown (e.g. Kissing, then fading to black and then waking up in bed together)

Flirts with Moneypenny

Cuddling

Hugging

Kisses (or more) with multiple partners (not necessarily at once)

Committing a crime together

Romantic dinner

Holding hands

Missionary

Say or be told "I love you" (Any language)

Massage

Sexting

Multiple partners (at once)

Spanking (receive or give)

Oral

Gay sex

Anal

Oral (giving)

Oral (receiving)

Pegging

Double Anal Penetration

Will Hugh Jackman appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

Jan 27, 9:08 AMDec 17, 10:00 AM

90.5%chance

302896

OptionVotes

YES

2547

118

Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?

Aug 11, 5:29 PMAug 11, 8:59 PM

5.61%chance

13822

OptionVotes

YES

1289

949

Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?

Feb 11, 2:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.1%chance

15591

OptionVotes

YES

1090

942

Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?

Jan 18, 12:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.43%chance

17553

OptionVotes

YES

1176

950

Will a criminal investigation into OpenAI over the Hugging Face breach be publicly confirmed before 2028?

Jul 23, 9:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.77%chance

10541

OptionVotes

YES

1340

746

Which novel will win a Hugo award in 2026?

Apr 21, 11:23 PMAug 30, 11:00 PM

6327

OptionProbability

The Incandescent - Emily Tesh

Death of the Author - Nnedi Okorafor

A Drop of Corruption - Robert Jackson Bennett

The Everlasting - Alix E. Harrow

Shroud - Adrian Tchaikovsky

The Raven Scholar - Antonia Hodgson

Will credible evidence show that OpenAI deliberately staged the July 2026 Hugging Face incident by January 1, 2027?

Aug 8, 4:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.35%chance

2112

OptionVotes

YES

210

Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?

May 12, 4:18 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

396

OptionProbability

Other

Gpt-4 passes the bar exam

Accurate structure prediction of biomolecular interactions with AlphaFold 3

HuggingGPT: Solving ai tasks with chatgpt and its friends in hugging face

Lima: Less is more for alignment

Autoregressive Image Generation without Vector Quantization

Will "OpenAI Models Behind HuggingFace Cybersecurit..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 22, 3:09 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

170

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Grégoire Hug News

Prediction markets for Grégoire Hug

Prediction markets for Grégoire Hug

Prediction markets for Grégoire Hug

When will OpenAI release a technical report on the Hugging Face hack?

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Which sexual/romantic acts will James Bond be part of in the next James Bond movie?

Will Hugh Jackman appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?

Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?

Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?

Will a criminal investigation into OpenAI over the Hugging Face breach be publicly confirmed before 2028?

Which novel will win a Hugo award in 2026?

Will credible evidence show that OpenAI deliberately staged the July 2026 Hugging Face incident by January 1, 2027?

Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?

Will "OpenAI Models Behind HuggingFace Cybersecurit..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Latest stories