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Prediction markets for Grimes

Will Elon Musk get back together with Grimes again?

Aug 18, 11:16 AMJan 1, 4:13 PM

5.48%chance

233251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4165

490

Who will be the first public figure to confidently claim that artificial intelligences are people? (add your own)

May 14, 2:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

562394

OptionProbability

Other

Grimes

David Chalmers

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Curtis Yarvin

Greta Thunberg

Jeff Sebo

Slavoj Zizek

Nick Bostrom

Donald Trump

Ilya Sutskever

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Joe Rogan

AOC

Neil deGrasse Tyson

Tucker Carlson

Ray Kurzweil

Joe Biden

Sarah Silverman

Jordan Peterson

52

8

6

5

5

4

4

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

Which of the following public figures will transition before 2027

Feb 1, 2:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

131690

OptionProbability

Tomska

Ezra Miller

Kristen Stewart

Grimes

Destiny

Porter Robinson

Harry Styles

Billie Eilish

Miley Cirus

50

42

21

18

13

12

12

11

11

Will Elon Musk be featured on a Grimes song by end of 2025?

Feb 11, 9:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.7%chance

201147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1869

837

Will a song produced using Grimes' AI vocal resource pass $100K in revenue?

May 6, 4:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.2%chance

28925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

654

Will Jose Luis Ricon and Grimes end up dating?

Mar 31, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.68%chance

10499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

511

20

Will a song produced using Grimes' AI vocal resource pass $10K in revenue?

May 6, 4:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.42%chance

10354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

421

203

Who is grimes' alt? [resolves when 95% confident]

Dec 30, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6220

OptionProbability

Avril Levine

Other

@Eigenrobot

Bjork

Claire L. Evans

amongus

46

42

12

0

0

0

If a song produced using Grimes' revenue sharing agreement becomes popular, will she say how much it made?

May 6, 8:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.09%chance

391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

46

Will a song produced using Grimes' AI vocal resource pass $1M in revenue?

May 6, 4:11 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.51%chance

582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

117

Will roko, Grimes, Chelsea Voss, Jose Luis Ricon, Henry Bass, &Danielle Fong all play SMAC (Alpha Centauri) by EOY2030?

Jan 16, 10:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.39%chance

255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

Will Grimes pay out any amount of money through her revenue sharing agreement?

May 6, 8:18 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

63.34%chance

423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

95

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