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Prediction markets for Gross

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

7.37%chance

113845

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3961

408

Will a movie grossing >$3B be released by 2028?

Jan 23, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.58%chance

393425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1244

713

What will Project Hail Mary Global Box Office Gross be (in Millions) 🍿🎥🎬🚀🧑‍🚀

Mar 23, 7:38 PMSep 20, 1:59 PM

192829

OptionProbability

Above $350M

Above $450M

Above $550M

Above $650M

Above $850M

Above $950M

Above $750M

100

100

100

100

5

5

4

What will be the top 10 Worldwide grossing movies in 2026?

Nov 2, 5:06 PMApr 24, 10:59 PM

182470

OptionProbability

Other

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Dune: Messiah

Minions 3

Toy Story 5

Avengers: Doomsday

Project Hail Mary

The Odyssey

Michael

Supergirl

The Mandalorian and Grogu

The Devil Wears Prada 2

99

98

97

97

95

93

92

83

79

76

19

7

3

Will a game programmed in Jai gross more than $10,000,000 before 2033?

Sep 25, 12:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.99%chance

171417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1044

851

What will be the top 10 grossing movies in the US in 2026?

Aug 12, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

231163

OptionProbability

Toy Story 5

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Project Hail Mary

Michael

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Other

The Odyssey

Avengers: Doomsday

Dune: Messiah

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Minions 3

Supergirl

The Mandalorian and Grogu

97

95

95

94

93

91

87

84

69

66

57

22

20

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear in a movie that grosses over $20M at the box office before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:47 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

18.39%chance

29941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

959

Will GDH (Gross Domestic Healthspan) overtake GDP in relevance/importance/attention by 2050?

May 11, 9:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.8%chance

36922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

908

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?

Jan 17, 5:10 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

38.1%chance

16529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

778

Will Ford Q2, 2026 Gross Profit exceed Tesla's

May 30, 1:46 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM

65.14%chance

9242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

98

Will the Q2 2026 U.S. gross domestic purchases price index rise at least 3.0% in the advance GDP estimate?

Jun 11, 6:16 AMJul 30, 12:25 PM

60%chance

4136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

93

Will Heye Groß win the Verdienstorden der Bundesrepublik Deutschland by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 6:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.23%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

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