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Top stories

OpenAI Co-Founder Ilya Sutskever Named CEO of Safe Superintelligence After Meta Poaches CEO Daniel Gross in AI Talent War

OpenAI Co-Founder Ilya Sutskever Named CEO of Safe Superintelligence After Meta Poaches CEO Daniel Gross in AI Talent War

Authors

17

29 days ago

Prediction markets for Gross

Which 2025 Marvel movie has highest worldwide box office gross by December 31, 2025?

Dec 22, 12:31 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

2714304

OptionProbability

Fantastic Four: First Steps

Captain America: Brave New World

Thunderbolts

Blade

Other

96

2

1

1

1

Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' become the highest-grossing movie of all time?

Jan 9, 2:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1%chance

3212599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11344

572

Will a movie grossing >$3B be released by 2028?

Jan 23, 2:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.57%chance

373170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

989

Will a game programmed in Jai gross more than $10,000,000 before 2033?

Sep 25, 12:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.54%chance

161317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

751

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear in a movie that grosses over $20M at the box office before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:47 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

18.39%chance

29941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

959

Will GDH (Gross Domestic Healthspan) overtake GDP in relevance/importance/attention by 2050?

May 11, 9:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.8%chance

36922

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

908

Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?

Mar 10, 2:33 PMMar 3, 1:29 PM

49.69%chance

12675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

293

212

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup gross more money than the 2022 FIFA World Cup (inflation adjusted)?

Aug 14, 3:31 AMDec 14, 4:59 AM

87.62%chance

15674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1395

908

Will Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross still be reporting to Alex Wang in June 2026?

Jun 20, 1:12 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36.99%chance

8525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

975

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film?

Jan 17, 5:10 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

27.54%chance

14379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

957

On May 1st 2029 will the highest grossing movie of all time worldwide be a James Cameron movie?

Jan 17, 5:07 PMMay 2, 3:59 AM

63.81%chance

7162

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

91

Will Denzel Washington break his record of highest grossing film by EOY 2026? ($300M, Gladiator 2)

Dec 4, 8:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.41%chance

970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 4, 2025
Jul 4, 2025
AI
OpenAI Co-Founder Ilya Sutskever Named CEO of Safe Superintelligence After Meta Poaches CEO Daniel Gross in AI Talent War
Authors
17
29 days ago

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