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Prediction markets for Henry

Conditional on a Mistborn movie, will Henry Cavill have a role in it?

Dec 16, 7:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16%chance

11488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

918

Will henry (@arithmoquine) get a girlfriend by EOY 2028?

Apr 27, 7:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.38%chance

6292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

281

95

Will henry (@arithmoquine) become BFF with one of elon musk's kids by EOY2025?

Oct 29, 12:36 AMNov 5, 4:59 AM

17.79%chance

3115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

47

Will Jose Luis Ricon OR Adam Henry marblestone become an Xbox OR guitar hero avatar by 2033

Nov 20, 1:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.09%chance

160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

Will roko, Grimes, Chelsea Voss, Jose Luis Ricon, Henry Bass, &Danielle Fong all play SMAC (Alpha Centauri) by EOY2030?

Jan 16, 10:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.39%chance

255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

Will I finish reading Henry Kissinger's "On China" by the end of October 2025?

Jun 19, 7:03 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

42.15%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

85

Will mason, Jose Luis Ricon, Evan Lin, Henry Bass, adic_9, janus/repligate all get to live in a treehouse by 2027?

Jul 27, 11:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.31%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

Will Henry (@arithmoquine) get a KISS by EOY2026?

Oct 28, 10:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Will Henry Bass become a Thiel Fellow?

Jul 27, 5:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Henry (arithmoquine) take more than 100mg Adderall on any day before 2026

Jul 31, 9:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Can Henry (@arithmoquine) get above 170 APM in starcraft2?

Jul 4, 8:17 PMFeb 23, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If Henry (@arithmoquine) played Sins of a Solar Empire 2 with autism hexafluoride, would he win?

Jul 4, 8:18 PMJul 6, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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