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Mastodon Co-Founder Brent Hinds Dies in Atlanta Motorcycle Crash at 51
Authors
13
7 months ago
Prediction markets for Hinds
Prediction markets for Hinds
In hindsight, will my husband moving to San Francisco and coming home on the weekends be a mistake?
Apr 27, 6:12 PM
Apr 27, 6:04 PM
9.58%
chance
61
3786
Option
Votes
YES
NO
307
33
The US has a Hindu president by 2042
Feb 3, 3:14 AM
Feb 3, 7:59 AM
11.55%
chance
24
3283
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1236
935
In 2030, a majority of experts will think open sourcing Llama 3.1 405 was a dangerous move in hindsight.
Aug 18, 8:57 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
6%
chance
17
441
Option
Votes
YES
NO
396
25
If we had an AI in the 2020s that could exactly duplicate a strawberry, would that destroy the world? (In 2050-hindsight)
Feb 22, 4:00 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
53.76%
chance
8
160
Option
Votes
YES
NO
169
166
Will Hindenburg Research release at least one stock short report in 2030?
Jun 21, 3:07 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
16.51%
chance
4
122
Option
Votes
YES
NO
158
26
If hindrance to AI development enacted, will Anti-Christ become manifest within 5 years?
Sep 26, 10:47 PM
Sep 14, 10:46 PM
31.11%
chance
5
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
149
67
Will either of the two remaining northern white rhinos give birth naturally or by surrogate by the end of 2029?
Aug 3, 1:08 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
62.08%
chance
4
78
Option
Votes
NO
YES
128
78
Will the Hindu population of the UK be more than 4 times the Jewish population of the UK by 2030?
Mar 4, 11:27 AM
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
70.04%
chance
4
71
Option
Votes
NO
YES
126
96
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