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Top stories

Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case

Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case

Authors

5

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Ho

Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?

Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1.15%chance

316855132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119785

2471

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

Apr 27, 7:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48%chance

640543230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15391

9326

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

110484229

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

London Breed

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

59

18

11

7

1

1

1

1

0

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

18.84%chance

316241647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1792

1079

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

10.14%chance

11337948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29769

3359

Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?

Jan 22, 5:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.06%chance

2313941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14715

7254

China's 70-city new home price index YoY change for December 2025 >= -2.0%?

Nov 26, 6:05 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

40.83%chance

32393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12039

8306

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

56.37%chance

41397

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11367

8797

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 72 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

49.78%chance

15223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Vietnam approve the construction of a Hanoi to Ho Chi Minh City high-speed rail project before 2035?

Apr 17, 11:19 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

79.53%chance

7112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

46

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Los Angeles and Ho Chi Minh City exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 3:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.83%chance

237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

87

29

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Crime
New York
Culture
Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case
Authors
5
4 months ago

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