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Top stories

Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case

Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Ho

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1741497015

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

Saikat Chakrabarti

London Breed

Other

64

36

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

Apr 27, 7:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.51%chance

703681691

OptionVotes

NO

YES

22857

4607

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

8.03%chance

600523184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31992

18520

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

184299141

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

92

8

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

9.14%chance

11744791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31553

3175

Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

73.83%chance

710697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16798

5953

Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?

Sep 15, 3:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.82%chance

1810663

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18203

5494

Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

69.84%chance

610118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15217

6572

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

54.42%chance

171802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10297

9614

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 24 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

48%chance

19272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Will Vietnam approve the construction of a Hanoi to Ho Chi Minh City high-speed rail project before 2035?

Apr 17, 11:19 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

79.53%chance

7112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

46

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Los Angeles and Ho Chi Minh City exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 3:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.83%chance

237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

87

29

Latest stories

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Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Crime
New York
Culture
Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case
Authors
5
1 year ago

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