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Top stories

Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case

Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Ho

Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?

Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

120673423

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Bruce Lou

Christine Pelosi

Jane Kim

London Breed

Nancy Pelosi will live forever and always win

55

26

15

2

1

1

1

1

0

Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?

Aug 29, 5:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.17%chance

621655252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4756

713

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

Apr 27, 7:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.93%chance

658577178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16062

8657

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

147221643

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

88

12

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.4%chance

28490246

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5301

4725

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

8.33%chance

11441549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33195

3018

Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?

Sep 15, 3:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.24%chance

138539

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18421

5429

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

34.52%chance

216894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13773

7261

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 24 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

50.37%chance

17245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will Vietnam approve the construction of a Hanoi to Ho Chi Minh City high-speed rail project before 2035?

Apr 17, 11:19 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

79.53%chance

7112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

46

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Los Angeles and Ho Chi Minh City exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 3:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.83%chance

237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

87

29

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Crime
New York
Culture
Adams Straw-Donor Gets Probation and Fine in NYC Campaign-Finance Case
Authors
5
6 months ago

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