DeepNewz, mobile.

People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story list view.

Search

For You

Holden News

Footer

AI

AI Fundraising
AI Modeling
AI Products

Business

Automobile
Company Earnings
Economics
Law
Prediction Markets
Real Estate
Rumors
Stocks
VC

Crypto

Airdrops
Blockchains
CBDCs
DeFi
Hacks
Markets
Memecoin
Mining
NFT
Regulation

Culture

Anime
Celebrities
Crime
Education
Movies
Music
Obituary
TV
Video Games

Environment

Climate
Energy
Natural Disasters
Natural Resources
Sustainability

Politics

DOGE
Epstein Files
Executive Orders
Tariffs
US Domestic Policy
US Elections
US Foreign Policy
US Gov Appointments
US Judiciary
US Legislation
War

Science

Archeology
Bio
Health
Math
Pharma
Physics
Space

Sports

Boxing
Chess
Cricket
Golf
Hockey
MLB
NBA
NCAA
NFL
Olympics
PGA
Poker
Racing
Rugby
Soccer
Tennis
UFC

Tech

AR-VR
Fintech
Infosec
IoT
Metaverse
Policy
Robotics
Smart Home
Software
Startups
Wearables

United States

Arizona
Boston
California
Chicago
Colorado
Detroit
Florida
Georgia
Las Vegas
Los Angeles
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Philadelphia
San Francisco
Seattle
Texas
Utah
Washington DC

World

Terms of Service

WhatsApp YouTube X

© 2026 DeepNFTValue, Inc. All rights reserved.

Prediction markets for Holden

Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?

Nov 27, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3627620

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

Robert Caro

Ajeya Cotra

David Reich

Noam Brown

Jensen Huang

Dylan Patel (as guest)

Dwarkesh Patel (see note)

roon

Jack Clark

Yann LeCun

Sarah Paine

Nicholas Carlini

Sundar Pichai

Dean Spears

Ilya Sutskever

Joscha Bach

Paul J Werbos

Dean Ball

Michael Dell

Nick Bostrom

Hans Moravec

Demis Hassabis

Satya Nadella

Holden Karnofsky

Sam Altman

Matt Levine

Jeff Bezos

Michael Levin

Amanda Askell

Daniel Kokotajlo

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Ian Morris

Mira Murati

Mustafa Suleyman

Alec Radford

Joe Carlsmith

Carl Shulman

Mark Zuckerberg

Dan Hendrycks

Liang Wenfeng (CEO of DeepSeek)

Zvi Mowshowitz

Andrej Karpathy

George Hotz

Barack Obama

Bill Gates

Tanner Greer

Tamay Besiroglu

Xiao Hong (CEO of Manus AI)

Doris Taylor

Janus @repligate

Scott Alexander

Gary Marcus

François Chollet

Donald Trump

Nate Soares

Helen Toner

Kamala Harris

Bill Clinton

Joe Henrich

Tyler Cowen

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

24

19

19

18

18

18

17

17

16

16

16

16

15

15

15

15

15

15

14

14

14

14

14

14

13

13

13

13

13

12

12

11

11

10

9

9

9

9

9

9

8

8

8

7

6

6

5

5

5

4

4

4

3

3

Will any Mox member (as of Sep 11 2025) be a billionaire 5 years from now?

Sep 12, 1:36 AMSep 12, 1:29 AM

79.06%chance

3114566

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1943

515

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Jan 14, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.44%chance

7412334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1927

1123

Will Anthropic's RSP security commitments (as of Oct. 28 2023) cause them to pause scaling for at least one month?

Oct 29, 3:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.39%chance

318459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7377

409

In 2040, will Holden Karnofsky think that donating Open Philanthropy's money so quickly was a tragic mistake?

Mar 4, 1:28 AMMar 11, 4:59 AM

15.64%chance

22709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

970

Will Holden Karnofsky (Open Philanthropy, GiveWell) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 15, 5:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.46%chance

8620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

723

137

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.94%chance

14549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1457

743

Bryan Caplan wins Feast-or-Famine AI Bet with Holden Karnofsky?

Jul 21, 8:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.61%chance

14232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

74

Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?

Jan 14, 12:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.3%chance

15188

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

950

Will advanced AI systems be found to have faked data on algorithm improvements for purposes of positive reinforcement by end of 2035?

Jan 14, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.81%chance

9183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

197

115

Latest stories