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Prediction markets for Holly
Who will cheerfully explain to @Krantz why his proposed solution to alignment of ASI isn't valid?
Jul 31, 6:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
116854
OptionProbability
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What donation-accepting entity (e.g., charity) would it be morally best to transfer $20 under the coherent extrapolation of my (Aaron Bergman's) values, all things considered?
Feb 6, 4:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
221270
OptionProbability
14
14
13
13
10
8
7
6
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
AI will be delivering the general education curriculum for all public universities within two years?
Jul 8, 10:23 PMJul 8, 10:18 PM
9%chance
16751
OptionVotes
318
31
Russian agents-provocateurs alleged involved in July 26th Cincinnati racial brawl?
Aug 4, 11:54 PMSep 4, 4:59 AM
30.54%chance
6602
OptionVotes
1508
663