Horn News

2035

2032

2030

2029

2028

Ship dropped anchor before colliding with the bridge

An emergency generator was activated on the ship before the collision

An overload trip mechanism was activated on the ship

Ship ran propeller in reverse before colliding with bridge

Ship switched from one primary fuel source to another between leaving and colliding with bridge

Ship had bad fuel

At least one member of the road crew working on the bridge received a warning about the ship via phone/radio before the collision

The loss of power was caused by a cooling water blockage

Ship sounded its horn at least once between the first power loss and the collision

Between the ship undocking and the collision, a person on the ship sustained a physical injury serious enough to prevent them from doing their job

A person on the ship at the time of the collision will be convicted of assault against another person on the ship.

Ship operators were on drugs

A person was trespassing on the ship at the time of the collision

A part of the ship other than the anchor fell off between leaving and the collision

Ship rudder was not disabled during power loss event.

YES

Economics

Physics

Computer Science

Math

YES

A model is publicly released which scores >45% on Humanity’s Last Exam (no tools)

Anthropic announces that it has activated ASL-4 for an internally or externally deployed model

METR or an equivalently credible organization judges that a tested AI system (not necessarily released) is “self-sustaining,” capable in principle to “autonomously operate indefinitely, acquire resources, and defend its existence”

A model is publicly released which scores >65% on Humanity’s Last Exam (no tools)

The US unemployment rate exceeds 10% for any reason

Anthropic announces that it has activated ASL-5 for an internally or externally deployed model

US Real GDP growth rate exceeds 6% (annualized) for two consecutive quarters, attributed primarily to AI

YES

NO

Other

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