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Prediction markets for Hsu

Will JD Vance follow Stephen hsu on Twitter by Eoy2026

Jun 7, 6:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.25%chance

5268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will Patrick Hsu win a nobel prize

Jul 5, 12:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.37%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Will Stephen Hsu and Xi Jinping both personally meet by EOY2029?

Sep 21, 6:21 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

50%chance

169

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Stephen Hsu's kids become friends with Bryan Caplan's kids?

Mar 11, 2:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.69%chance

452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

100

Will Stephen hsu attend caplacon by 2030

Sep 21, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will Lure Hsu be able to pass off as in her 20s when she's 55?

Nov 10, 9:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

If Jose Luis ricon arm wrestled Stephen Hsu, would he win

Jun 8, 8:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.75%chance

29

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

96

Will janus/repligate, Rona Wang, Razib Khan, Ava Huang, Stephen Hsu, and Ben Yu ALL traverse the Oregon Trail by 2090?

Dec 2, 1:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will Stephen Hsu get diagnosed with plasticosis by EOY2039?

Sep 21, 5:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will there be an encyclopedia dramatica article on Stephen Hsu by 2034?

Jul 4, 6:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Stephen Hsu end up taking an academic position in China by 2033?

Jun 14, 6:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Stephen Hsu OR razib Khan become sperm donor by 2027

Jun 12, 2:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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