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Australia Edges China 90-89 for Third Straight FIBA Asia Cup Title

5 days ago

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

3.14%chance

10767083208

OptionVotes

YES

10588

1949

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.19%chance

8024167899

OptionVotes

YES

3663

1798

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Dec 30, 3:16 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

64.82%chance

34302736433

OptionVotes

YES

12745

7678

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

6.06%chance

4631710990

OptionVotes

YES

6263

1698

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11%chance

316855080

OptionVotes

YES

7687

3517

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60%chance

463382160

OptionVotes

YES

3693

1551

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12.09%chance

201282138

OptionVotes

YES

4175

1332

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.38%chance

41490292

OptionVotes

YES

11522

10209

AI outperforms humans in all mathematical research areas by 2028?

Jul 17, 3:17 PMJul 18, 3:59 AM

15%chance

13758456

OptionVotes

YES

2333

1409

What will happen to Hugging Face?

Feb 22, 8:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

751943

OptionProbability

Acquisition (for >$4.5bn)

IPO

Bankruptcy, collapse or acquisition for <$4.5bn

None of the above before 2029

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Aug 21, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.23%chance

2441

OptionVotes

YES

145

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Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

AI outperforms humans in all mathematical research areas by 2028?

What will happen to Hugging Face?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

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