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Prediction markets for Hunt

Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?

Jan 2, 7:09 AMJan 29, 7:59 AM

30.27%chance

3021116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

564

When will a Mission: Impossible film be released without Tom Cruise as Ethan Hunt?

Jan 27, 12:36 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

292556

OptionProbability

By 2040

By 2035

By 2030

By 2025

86

60

21

0

Will LLMs be banned at the 2027 MIT Mystery Hunt?

Jan 25, 12:43 AMFeb 1, 12:42 AM

22.6%chance

151722

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1850

540

Will "The Hunt for Ben Solo" (or substantially similar film) be released before 2030?

Oct 23, 9:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.89%chance

4366

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1366

732

Will Lord of the rings: The Hunt for Gollum (2026) have ≥7.5 on IMDB 30 days after US release?

May 10, 5:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.02%chance

9149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

How many puzzles will there be in the 2027 MIT Mystery Hunt?

Jan 27, 11:37 PMJan 28, 7:59 AM

4145

OptionProbability

171-190

191-210

151-170

211-240

91-130

131-150

241+

0-90

23

21

16

16

7

7

7

3

Will Jose Luis Ricon and duck_master (@MIT) go duck hunting by EOY 2029?

Jul 28, 3:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.84%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Will monaduck69 OR bmorphisn and duck_master go 🦆 hunting together

Aug 2, 4:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.01%chance

275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

What will be the order the last commercial hunting countries of baleen whales stop?

Sep 30, 2:25 AMJan 6, 4:59 AM

366

OptionProbability

Iceland, Norway , japan

Norway, Iceland , japan

Iceland, japan, Norway

Norway, japan, Iceland

Japan, Iceland , Norway

Japan, Norway , Iceland

25

23

14

14

12

12

Will Mission Impossible do a James Bond on their Ethan Hunt Character

Jan 27, 12:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

34.05%chance

434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

89

56

Will Theo Jaffee and Cremieux both go duck hunting together by EOY 2029?

Jul 28, 3:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Can you hunt deer using anthropic reasoning?

Sep 24, 2:03 AM

140

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