OptionProbability
Hong Wang
Jacob Tsimerman
Other
Jack Thorne
John Pardon
Sam Raskin
Aleksandr Logunov
Will Sawin
Yu Deng
Hannah Larson
Maksym Radziwill
Karim Adiprasito
Song Sun
Miguel Walsh
Tasuki Kinjo
Junliang Shen
Julian Sahasrabudhe
Tatenda Kubalalika
Elia Bruè
Amol Aggarwal
Akhil Mathew
Ashwin Sah
Vesselin Dimitrov
Alexander Efimov
Maria Colombo
Simion Filip
Jeremy Hahn
Lisa Sauermann
Dennis Gaitsgory
(duplicate, will resolve no)
Xian-Jin Li
Yibo Gao
Mike Wolf
Joseph Palmer
A non-human (e.g. an LLM)
Jacob Braunschweig
Igor Rodnianski
23
22
12
7
2
1
0
Vladimir Putin
Sergey Kiriyenko
Aleksey Dyumin
No one
Yulia Navalnaya
Sergey Naryshkin
Mikhail Mishustin
Sergei Shoigu
Dmitry Medvedev
Igor Sechin
39
11
10
5
4
3
Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool)
Florian Wirtz (Liverpool)
Viktor Gyokeres (Arsenal)
Tijjani Reijnders (Manchester City)
Rayan Cherki (Manchester City)
Igor Jesus (Nottingham Forest)
Jamie Gittens (Chelsea)
32
15
14
6
