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Prediction markets for Israël

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

103156253

OptionProbability

Other

Jan - Jun 2027

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2026

Jan - Jun 2025

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

42

31

20

4

1

1

0

0

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.74%chance

357106566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1394

1231

Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side

Oct 8, 6:14 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

31374211

OptionProbability

1500-2500

2500-3500

1000-1500

5000+

3500-5000

0-500

500-1000

84

11

2

2

1

0

0

Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Mar 31, 11:32 AMJun 1, 5:59 AM

68.85%chance

8231999

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1580

266

[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.22%chance

4915942

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6219

4309

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

91.28%chance

11515042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6343

443

[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.88%chance

3912826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9087

3868

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

26%chance

5610896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1459

774

Will as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027?

May 23, 8:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41%chance

303251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

834

In 2028, will Israel's GDP per Capita be higher than Sweden's?

Jun 5, 11:02 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

64.39%chance

92187

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1345

744

Will Bibi still be the prime minister of Israel in 2027?

Aug 7, 11:44 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

47.67%chance

331483

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

567

Will Israel authorize the sale of offensive military equipment to Ukraine?

Sep 10, 3:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.33%chance

22817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1059

979

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