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Prediction markets for Israël

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6680369

OptionProbability

Other

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2026

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

37

25

19

18

1

0

0

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.88%chance

27874619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1890

1079

Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side

Oct 8, 6:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30973505

OptionProbability

1500-2500

2500-3500

5000+

1000-1500

3500-5000

0-500

500-1000

83

9

5

1

1

0

0

Will Israel annex a part of the West Bank by the end of 2025?

Nov 17, 10:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10%chance

15541706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

333

Will I support Israel (Yes) or Palestine (No) after talking to Manifold?

Jul 31, 6:14 PMAug 30, 5:48 PM

81.49%chance

22837883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1922

563

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

11.37%chance

4021048

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10109

8701

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

Jan 22, 6:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.66%chance

4720282

OptionVotes

NO

YES

24783

2497

Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?

Oct 22, 5:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.36%chance

5619635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1222

571

Will Israel annex a part of Gaza by the end of 2025?

Nov 17, 10:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.03%chance

5716295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2207

453

Will Israel annex part of Palestine by the end of 2025?

Nov 17, 10:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.02%chance

4415539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1999

500

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92.38%chance

11314826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6748

407

Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?

Nov 13, 6:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.24%chance

5211410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1985

504

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