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Ivan Turõgin News

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

52.38%chance

13723963

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

807

Will the woolly mammoth be de-extincted before 2040?

Jan 29, 3:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

65.8%chance

756119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1534

424

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3409

1209

Who will win The Bacheloret: Swansong

Jun 2, 12:08 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

122330

OptionProbability

Other

Kerem of Loegria

Ned Kirsch

Julien Doucet

Svetka Ignatyeva

Markus Vaughn

Zane

D.1E.1A

Beaufort Steill

Izzy Swan

Ellie Mitchell

Eugene Cullen

Rebecca Arden

Ivan Xav Vorpatril

Chelsea Dawning

Adelaide "Addy" Bauer | Imperial Factotum

46

10

8

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

Will the Internet Archive be available in 2046?

Mar 19, 12:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

78.07%chance

381136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2014

1765

Who will lead Russia after Vladimir Putin leaves power?

May 3, 2:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16756

OptionProbability

Other

Mikhail Mishustin

Ivan Melnikov

Dmitry Patrushev

Dmitry Medvedev

Sergey Kiriyenko

Nikolai Patrushev

An artificial superintelligence (may or may not control rest of Earth too)

Alexei Dyumin

Sergei Sobyanin

67

10

6

5

3

3

2

2

1

1

Who will win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia (GCT 3rd event)?

May 23, 4:21 AMJul 6, 11:59 PM

10454

OptionProbability

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

Vincent Keymer

Alireza Firouzja

Anish Giri

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

Jorden van Foreest

Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa

Gukesh Dommaraju

Ivan Saric

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

26

24

16

9

5

5

5

5

3

2

Will Ivan Ralasic (co-founder of Forsight, 2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 20, 12:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.57%chance

5189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

98

England WC squad players to start majority of matches

May 26, 7:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4141

OptionProbability

Dan Burn

Anthony Gordon

John Stones

Djed Spence

Ivan Toney

Jarell Quansah

Kobbie Mainoo

Ollie Watkins

Noni Madueke

Dean Henderson

James Trafford

Jordan Henderson

50

50

50

40

40

40

40

40

27

20

20

20

Will Ivan vendrov have a family by 2033

Jan 22, 10:23 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

75.4%chance

238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

49

Will Ivan Vendrov be a millionaire by 2028?

Sep 11, 2:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

would you rather vote for trump or Ivan the terrible

Jun 18, 2:57 PM

60

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