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Prediction markets for Jain

Will Sercy be a "religious fundie de trans" in 5 years?

Oct 2, 3:52 PMOct 3, 9:59 PM

8.15%chance

72356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3356

298

Human whole brain emulation before 2100?

Jun 20, 7:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.51%chance

192010

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1994

335

Will one of the next 10 popes be black?

Mar 7, 5:20 PMApr 1, 9:59 PM

76.81%chance

251414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1837

498

Will a (new) technocratic government emerge by 2050?

Jul 2, 1:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.79%chance

241200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

916

Will West Papua be independent by 2030?

May 30, 10:01 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.19%chance

91065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2052

487

Will Mustafa ever meet someone at his ACX meetups?

Oct 15, 10:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

59.08%chance

12571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1201

832

Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?

Aug 25, 8:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.04%chance

18486

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

963

Will the Sentinelese language be described before 2035?

Jan 31, 10:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.03%chance

20331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

940

Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?

Jul 8, 4:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.45%chance

7316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

841

Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100?

Jul 11, 11:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.54%chance

12300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

915

Will Tuvalu still be habitable by 2080?

May 6, 10:05 PMMay 9, 9:59 PM

54.01%chance

10228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

977

Bioluminescent tree lighting before 2030?

Oct 25, 7:19 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.79%chance

8159

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

126

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