James Clear News

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.5%chance

5621045650

OptionVotes

YES

46103

2172

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

YES

2141

900

Who will win the 2027 NBA Championship?

Feb 9, 1:52 PMJul 31, 6:59 AM

354241

OptionProbability

Oklahoma City Thunder

San Antonio Spurs

Philadelphia 76ers

Boston Celtics

New York Knicks

Miami Heat

Denver Nuggets

Cleveland Cavaliers

Detroit Pistons

Minnesota Timberwolves

Toronto Raptors

Houston Rockets

Milwaukee Bucks

Phoenix Suns

Los Angeles Lakers

Golden State Warriors

Dallas Mavericks

Los Angeles Clippers

Memphis Grizzlies

New Orleans Pelicans

Sacramento Kings

Atlanta Hawks

Brooklyn Nets

Portland Trail Blazers

Chicago Bulls

Indiana Pacers

Utah Jazz

Washington Wizards

Orlando Magic

Charlotte Hornets

Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028?

Jul 28, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.04%chance

103512

OptionVotes

YES

3634

275

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.94%chance

321986

OptionVotes

YES

1679

610

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Sep 2, 8:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.43%chance

121750

OptionVotes

YES

4095

1814

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.86%chance

13931

OptionVotes

YES

1182

959

Valve accepts ACH/SEPA/etc before next censorship scandal?

Sep 24, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:13 PM

72.67%chance

5565

OptionVotes

YES

163

What is true about Tate brothers for 2026?

Dec 22, 8:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12501

OptionProbability

Andrew Tate will be charged for Human trafficking in Romania or UK

Andrew Tate returns to UK to face criminal charges in 2026

Tristan Tate charged with human trafficking in Romania or UK

Andrew Tate convicted in UK civil trial for sexual abuse or coercive control

Andrew Tate appeals UK civil trial verdict in 2026

Andrew Tate faces new trial for match fixing after loosing in front of Chase Demoor

Andrew Tate receives prison sentence in 2026

Tristan Tate receives prison sentence in 2026

Andrew Tate flees to US

Andrew Tate remains in United States throughout 2026

Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?

Oct 23, 10:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.6%chance

9384

OptionVotes

YES

151

Will there be a sane right wing frontier model by 2028?

Jul 9, 2:19 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

40%chance

6336

OptionVotes

YES

122

Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?

Oct 30, 1:58 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

42%chance

7286

OptionVotes

YES

James Clear News

Prediction markets for James Clear

Prediction markets for James Clear

Prediction markets for James Clear

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Who will win the 2027 NBA Championship?

Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Valve accepts ACH/SEPA/etc before next censorship scandal?

What is true about Tate brothers for 2026?

Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?

Will there be a sane right wing frontier model by 2028?

Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?

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