James Clear News

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.17%chance

5701074185

OptionVotes

YES

55330

1810

Who will win the 2027 NBA Championship?

Feb 9, 1:52 PMJul 31, 6:59 AM

4815103

OptionProbability

San Antonio Spurs

Philadelphia 76ers

Oklahoma City Thunder

New York Knicks

Boston Celtics

Houston Rockets

Minnesota Timberwolves

Toronto Raptors

Detroit Pistons

Los Angeles Lakers

Denver Nuggets

Miami Heat

Cleveland Cavaliers

Indiana Pacers

Milwaukee Bucks

Phoenix Suns

Golden State Warriors

Dallas Mavericks

Los Angeles Clippers

Memphis Grizzlies

New Orleans Pelicans

Sacramento Kings

Atlanta Hawks

Brooklyn Nets

Portland Trail Blazers

Chicago Bulls

Utah Jazz

Washington Wizards

Orlando Magic

Charlotte Hornets

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

YES

2141

900

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.54%chance

174278

OptionVotes

YES

4638

681

Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028?

Jul 28, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.04%chance

103512

OptionVotes

YES

3634

275

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Sep 2, 8:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48%chance

152252

OptionVotes

YES

3627

2185

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.2%chance

332044

OptionVotes

YES

1554

652

What is true about Tate brothers for 2026?

Dec 22, 8:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13981

OptionProbability

Andrew Tate will be charged for Human trafficking in Romania or UK

Tristan Tate charged with human trafficking in Romania or UK

Andrew Tate returns to UK to face criminal charges in 2026

Andrew Tate convicted in UK civil trial for sexual abuse or coercive control

Andrew Tate appeals UK civil trial verdict in 2026

Andrew Tate faces new trial for match fixing after loosing in front of Chase Demoor

Andrew Tate receives prison sentence in 2026

Tristan Tate receives prison sentence in 2026

Andrew Tate flees to US

Andrew Tate remains in United States throughout 2026

Valve accepts ACH/SEPA/etc before next censorship scandal?

Sep 24, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:13 PM

72.67%chance

5565

OptionVotes

YES

163

Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?

Oct 23, 10:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.47%chance

10414

OptionVotes

YES

181

Will there be a sane right wing frontier model by 2028?

Jul 9, 2:19 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

40%chance

6336

OptionVotes

YES

122

Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?

Oct 30, 1:58 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

42%chance

7286

OptionVotes

YES

James Clear News

Prediction markets for James Clear

Prediction markets for James Clear

Prediction markets for James Clear

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Who will win the 2027 NBA Championship?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028?

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

What is true about Tate brothers for 2026?

Valve accepts ACH/SEPA/etc before next censorship scandal?

Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?

Will there be a sane right wing frontier model by 2028?

Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?

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