OptionProbability
Pete Hegseth
Pam Bondi
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Tulsi Gabbard
Kristi Noem
Howard Lutnick
No One
Doug Burgum
Scott Bessent
Marco Rubio
Brooke Rollins
Sean Duffy
Scott Turner
Chris Wright
Doug Collins
Susie Wiles
Lee Zeldin
Russell Vought
John Ratcliffe
Kelly Loeffler
Linda McMahon
Jamieson Greer
Other
40
11
9
8
5
3
2
1
Pete Hegseth (Secretary of Defense)
Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)
Pam Bondi (Attorney General)
RFK Jr. (Secretary of HHS)
Kristi Noem (Secretary of Homeland Security)
Howard Lutnick (Secretary of Commerce)
Russel Vought (OMB director)
Scott Bessent (Secretary of the Treasury)
Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)
Doug Burgum (Secretary of the Interior)
Brooke Rollins (Secretary of Agriculture)
Lori Chavez-DeRemer (Secretary of Labor)
Scott Turner (HUD Secretary)
Sean Duffy (Secretary of Transportation)
Chris Wright (Secretary of Energy)
Linda McMahon (Secretary of Education)
Doug Collins (Secretary of Veterans Affairs)
Susie Wiles (Chief of Staff)
Lee Zeldin (EPA administrator)
John Ratcliffe (Director of the CIA)
Kelly Loeffler (Administrator of the Small Business Administration)
Mike Waltz (or confirmed UN Ambassador)
Jamieson Greer (US Trade Representative)
JD Vance (Vice President)
41
6
Ross Worthington
David Warrington
Dorothy Shea
James Blair
Taylor Budowich
Nicholas F. Luna
Jacob Reses
Joshua Fisher
Vince Haley
Will Scharf
Dan Scavino
Kevin Hassett
Peter Navarro
Steven Cheung
Stephen Miller
Karoline Leavitt
Sergio Gor
Steve Witkoff
Lori Chavez‑DeRemer
William "Beau" Harrison
Donald J. Trump
J.D. Vance
17
16
15
10
7
4