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Prediction markets for Jesus Christ

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Mar 24, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.17%chance

6780245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14162

2063

Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?

Jun 2, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.39%chance

3627692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8365

1127

Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years?

Mar 19, 1:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4%chance

141936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

875

123

Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to Richard Dawkins)?

Aug 29, 8:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2%chance

111781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

474

127

Will the second coming of Jesus Christ ever happen?

Mar 19, 1:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.44%chance

131624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

949

109

Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)?

Aug 29, 8:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.26%chance

191548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1804

933

Sam Harris will confess faith in Jesus Christ as Lord before 2042

Aug 17, 6:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7%chance

181081

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1273

931

Will Jesus Christ be the King of Poland in 2040?

Aug 22, 9:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

64.33%chance

28729

OptionVotes

NO

YES

413

101

Jesus Christ stock [permanent]

Feb 7, 6:16 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

17442

OptionProbability

NO

YES

386

282

Will "Will Jesus Christ return in an election year?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 2:41 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.79%chance

362

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

739

Will Lada Nuzhna accept the Divinity of Jesus Christ by 2030?

Aug 14, 10:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.29%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

48

Will any of {Joscha Bach, Qiaochu Yuan, Alexey Guzey, Jose Luis Ricon} come to accept the divinity of Jesus Christ?

Jul 24, 2:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.5%chance

130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

77

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