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Top stories

Charlie Kirk Defends Ravens’ Lamar Jackson Over Faith-Based Post

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Jesus

Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?

Jun 2, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

0.95%chance

4458772

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18436

977

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [actually]

Feb 3, 1:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

4712520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will Jesus return before the year 2030?

Dec 17, 1:15 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

2.7%chance

1910048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

600

17

Matt Dillahunty will come to know Jesus personally by 2035

Dec 28, 1:58 AMMar 15, 10:59 PM

6.48%chance

127021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3802

263

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Jan 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

305620

OptionProbability

No, Jesus Christ will not return before 2027

Yes, Jesus Christ will return before 2027

99

1

Will the second coming of Jesus Christ ever happen?

Mar 19, 1:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.79%chance

223114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

447

148

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027

Apr 3, 8:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.44%chance

182641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

826

12

Will there exist a scholarly consensus in the year 3000 affirming the existence of Jesus as a historical figure?

Jul 28, 12:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.52%chance

311943

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

970

Sam Harris will confess faith in Jesus Christ as Lord before 2042

Aug 17, 6:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.96%chance

191581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1773

900

Will Jesus Christ be the King of Poland in 2040?

Aug 22, 9:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

66.11%chance

29739

OptionVotes

NO

YES

423

95

Will "Church Planting: When Venture Capital Finds Jesus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 22, 3:14 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.86%chance

2250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

881

Will "Will Jesus Christ return in an election year?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 18, 2:41 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

17.65%chance

4112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

789

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