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Prediction markets for Jim

will @jim beat @bayesian in the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest?

Jan 28, 8:54 PMJan 2, 10:59 AM

23.5%chance

2822559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

616

Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29

Nov 18, 5:55 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

8.28%chance

713034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15497

37

Will a company started by @jim have a valuation of at least one billion USD by the year 2026?

Jan 26, 1:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

0.67%chance

185769

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5934

879

When will AI pass @jim's "agents benchmark"?

Feb 15, 5:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

295571

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

Other

2028

2029

2030

2024

52

25

9

4

3

3

3

1

@jim pays off the US national debt?

Jul 26, 8:54 AMDec 31, 11:19 PM

9.29%chance

132913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3125

320

Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?

Jan 25, 12:15 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

15.57%chance

251637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1464

867

will @jim reach Masters by EOY?

May 21, 7:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

131349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Did Jim O'Shaughnessy or O'Shaughnessy Ventures provide feedback on Leo Guinan's 'time violence' model?

Oct 3, 3:51 AMJan 1, 4:51 AM

22.06%chance

4776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

Will Jim Walton (businessman, Walmart heir) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 14, 2:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.95%chance

7311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

96

Who of RFK Jr. and Jim O'Neill will leave HHS first?

Nov 27, 3:09 AMFeb 1, 3:59 PM

4265

OptionProbability

Jim O'Neill

Neither or Both (both serve the full term or announced the same day)

RFK Jr.

39

31

30

Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.41%chance

2145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

244

41

Where will Jim Curtin coach next? [Add your own responses]

Nov 8, 5:07 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

120

OptionProbability

Other

Atlanta United

St. Louis FC

Toronto FC

38

27

18

16

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