Jim News

Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29

Nov 18, 5:55 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

19.69%chance

920668

OptionVotes

YES

15088

Will @jim outperform @Bayesian in forecast2026.ai?

Jan 18, 6:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.45%chance

3613928

OptionVotes

YES

1582

123

When will AI pass @jim's "agents benchmark"?

Feb 15, 5:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

3210943

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

2024

2028

Other

2029

2030

@jim pays off the US national debt?

Jul 26, 8:54 AMDec 31, 11:19 PM

9.29%chance

132913

OptionVotes

YES

2906

101

Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?

Jan 25, 12:15 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

8.49%chance

272687

OptionVotes

YES

2574

766

[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?

Feb 10, 2:12 PMDec 1, 10:59 AM

142109

OptionProbability

it exists

uploaded onto youtube

uses royalty-free music

has hard coded subtitles on at least 1 frame

sex scene

Fails the bechdel test

It contains the exact line, "All this time, we've been thinking rationally, when we should have been thinking rationalussy."

runtime of at least 10 minutes

Wario appears in the movie at least once

features AI-generated video

Rana (or a character clearly inspired by Rana) appears in a role with dialogue

there's multiple actors

Rana voices a character

The current summary from the Rationalussy Wiki is "shockingly accurate", as judged by @PlasmaBallin

it's debuted during Summer Camp or Manifest (2024)

Upon release, it unites all of humanity in devotion to rationalussy

Will Jim O'Neill live to be more than 150 years old?

Dec 14, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.02%chance

2325

OptionVotes

YES

125

Will Jim Walton (businessman, Walmart heir) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 14, 2:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.95%chance

7311

OptionVotes

YES

354

Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.41%chance

2145

OptionVotes

YES

244

How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?

Jan 16, 12:57 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM

8104

OptionProbability

5–7 wins

8-9 wins

10-11 wins

12+ wins

0–4 wins

Will Jim Cramer be convicted of any type of financial crime in relation to Mad Money predictions before 2040?

Apr 29, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.48%chance

446

OptionVotes

YES

116

Will ASI say jim’s true preference is not to change his personality at all?

Jun 14, 6:18 AMJun 14, 6:18 AM

24.9%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1004

999

Jim News

Prediction markets for Jim

Prediction markets for Jim

Prediction markets for Jim

Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29

Will @jim outperform @Bayesian in forecast2026.ai?

When will AI pass @jim's "agents benchmark"?

@jim pays off the US national debt?

Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?

[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?

Will Jim O'Neill live to be more than 150 years old?

Will Jim Walton (businessman, Walmart heir) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?

Will Jim Cramer be convicted of any type of financial crime in relation to Mad Money predictions before 2040?

Will ASI say jim’s true preference is not to change his personality at all?

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