Jim News

Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29

Nov 18, 5:55 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

21.15%chance

920640

OptionVotes

YES

15064

108

Will @jim outperform @Bayesian in forecast2026.ai?

Jan 18, 6:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.73%chance

3112986

OptionVotes

YES

2406

416

When will AI pass @jim's "agents benchmark"?

Feb 15, 5:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

295571

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

Other

2028

2029

2030

2024

@jim pays off the US national debt?

Jul 26, 8:54 AMDec 31, 11:19 PM

9.29%chance

132913

OptionVotes

YES

3125

320

Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?

Jan 25, 12:15 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

8.69%chance

262637

OptionVotes

YES

2524

771

[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?

Feb 10, 2:12 PMDec 1, 10:59 AM

142109

OptionProbability

it exists

uploaded onto youtube

uses royalty-free music

has hard coded subtitles on at least 1 frame

sex scene

Fails the bechdel test

It contains the exact line, "All this time, we've been thinking rationally, when we should have been thinking rationalussy."

runtime of at least 10 minutes

Wario appears in the movie at least once

features AI-generated video

Rana (or a character clearly inspired by Rana) appears in a role with dialogue

there's multiple actors

Rana voices a character

The current summary from the Rationalussy Wiki is "shockingly accurate", as judged by @PlasmaBallin

it's debuted during Summer Camp or Manifest (2024)

Upon release, it unites all of humanity in devotion to rationalussy

Isaac King vs. @Jim - $1000 USD on whether AI will beat Minecraft in under 10 minutes

Aug 29, 3:12 AMJan 2, 3:28 AM

10698

OptionProbability

Jim wins the bet, Isaac pays up

Isaac wins the bet, Jim pays up

Isaac wins the bet, Jim does not pay up

Jim wins the bet, Isaac does not pay up

Will Jim O'Neill live to be more than 150 years old?

Dec 14, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.02%chance

2325

OptionVotes

YES

125

Will Jim Walton (businessman, Walmart heir) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 14, 2:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.95%chance

7311

OptionVotes

YES

354

Who of RFK Jr. and Jim O'Neill will leave HHS first?

Nov 27, 3:09 AMFeb 1, 3:59 PM

4265

OptionProbability

Jim O'Neill

Neither or Both (both serve the full term or announced the same day)

RFK Jr.

Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.41%chance

2145

OptionVotes

YES

244

How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?

Jan 16, 12:57 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM

669

OptionProbability

5–7 wins

8-9 wins

10-11 wins

0–4 wins

12+ wins

Jim News

Prediction markets for Jim

Prediction markets for Jim

Prediction markets for Jim

Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29

Will @jim outperform @Bayesian in forecast2026.ai?

When will AI pass @jim's "agents benchmark"?

@jim pays off the US national debt?

Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?

[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?

Isaac King vs. @Jim - $1000 USD on whether AI will beat Minecraft in under 10 minutes

Will Jim O'Neill live to be more than 150 years old?

Will Jim Walton (businessman, Walmart heir) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Who of RFK Jr. and Jim O'Neill will leave HHS first?

Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?

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