Jim News

Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29

Nov 18, 5:55 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

19.69%chance

920668

OptionVotes

YES

15088

Will @jim outperform @Bayesian in forecast2026.ai?

Jan 18, 6:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33%chance

3714351

OptionVotes

YES

1438

179

When will AI pass @jim's "agents benchmark"?

Feb 15, 5:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

3412722

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2025

2024

2028

2029

2030

Other

@jim pays off the US national debt?

Jul 26, 8:54 AMDec 31, 11:19 PM

9.29%chance

132913

OptionVotes

YES

2906

101

Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?

Jan 25, 12:15 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

8.49%chance

272687

OptionVotes

YES

2574

766

[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?

Feb 10, 2:12 PMDec 1, 10:59 AM

152143

OptionProbability

uploaded onto youtube

uses royalty-free music

has hard coded subtitles on at least 1 frame

sex scene

Fails the bechdel test

It contains the exact line, "All this time, we've been thinking rationally, when we should have been thinking rationalussy."

runtime of at least 10 minutes

Wario appears in the movie at least once

features AI-generated video

Rana (or a character clearly inspired by Rana) appears in a role with dialogue

there's multiple actors

Rana voices a character

it exists

The current summary from the Rationalussy Wiki is "shockingly accurate", as judged by @PlasmaBallin

it's debuted during Summer Camp or Manifest (2024)

Upon release, it unites all of humanity in devotion to rationalussy

Isaac King vs. @Jim - $1000 USD on whether AI will beat Minecraft in under 10 minutes

Aug 29, 3:12 AMJan 2, 3:28 AM

12726

OptionProbability

Jim wins the bet, Isaac pays up

Isaac wins the bet, Jim pays up

Isaac wins the bet, Jim does not pay up

Jim wins the bet, Isaac does not pay up

Will Jim Walton (businessman, Walmart heir) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 14, 2:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.95%chance

7311

OptionVotes

YES

354

Will ASI say jim’s true preference is not to change his personality at all?

Jun 14, 6:18 AMJun 14, 6:18 AM

26.46%chance

6174

OptionVotes

YES

1019

944

Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Aug 22, 3:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.41%chance

2145

OptionVotes

YES

244

Will Jim Justice run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028?

Aug 25, 2:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.51%chance

479

OptionVotes

YES

141

Will Jim Cramer be convicted of any type of financial crime in relation to Mad Money predictions before 2040?

Apr 29, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.48%chance

446

OptionVotes

YES

116

Jim News

Prediction markets for Jim

Prediction markets for Jim

Prediction markets for Jim

Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29

Will @jim outperform @Bayesian in forecast2026.ai?

When will AI pass @jim's "agents benchmark"?

@jim pays off the US national debt?

Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?

[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?

Isaac King vs. @Jim - $1000 USD on whether AI will beat Minecraft in under 10 minutes

Will Jim Walton (businessman, Walmart heir) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will ASI say jim’s true preference is not to change his personality at all?

Will Jim o'neill prefrontal cortex have more than 1 percent microplastics by weight by 2030?

Will Jim Justice run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028?

Will Jim Cramer be convicted of any type of financial crime in relation to Mad Money predictions before 2040?

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