OptionProbability
Other
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
MSF / Doctors without Borders
Donald Trump
Yulia Navalnaya
International Court of Justice
Narges Mohammadi
Minnesota (or the People of Minnesota)
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Greta Thunberg
duplicate - international Court of Justice
UNESCO
Philippe Lazzarini
Joe Biden
UNRWA
Alexei Navalny
Kyaw Moe Tun
José Andrés
World Uyghur Congress
Maria Corina Machado
Eliezer Yudkowsky
OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights
Timnit Gebru
Elon Musk
NATO
Netanyahu
JD Vance
AOC
Antonio Guterres
Julian Assange
David Attenborough
Pope Francis
Ursula von der Leyen
Keir Starmer
European Union
Ilham Tohti
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
Jacinda Ardern
Raoni Metuktire
Loujain al-Hathloul
Ilwad Elman
Wa Lone
Narendra Modi
Yvonne Ridley
Hajer Sharief
Alexis Tsipras
Isaias Afwerki
Nathan Law
Agnes Chow
Filippo Grandi
Yuan Longping
Mahbouba Seraj
Victoria Tauli-Corpuz
Juan Carlos Jintiach
Joshua Wong
Ernest Moniz
DOGE
Kamala Harris
Noam Chomsky
International Fact-Checking Network
Manifold Markets
Justin Trudeau
Vladimir Putin
Aleksandr Lukashenko
Sam Altman
Bill Gates / Gates Foundation
Kim Jong Un
Abdullah Öcalan
Daniel Sheehan
Robert Kennedy Jr
@Krantz
Gustavo Petro
The Iranian protesters
Peacekeepers
Jimmy Lai
Francesca Albanese
Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
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